TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,308

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3b…3410backed Over26c12,900$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,35410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c98…104ebacked Under74c12,900$9,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3542100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over19c11,153$2,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.1427750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over29c6,207$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over30c5,000$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.8912642.9%54 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under70c4,287$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,286.242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under74c1,420$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.199763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over26c897$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.7914128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under71c783.83$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c725.42$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.644,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under71c523.57$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over26c447.74$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.411,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under71c400$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bd…2bf8backed Over20c384.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over18c358.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.762,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Over28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8765557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8760557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Under74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7811047.3%52 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under71c250.18$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.521,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Over29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.637557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under71c240$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.635157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over28c199$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.131,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Under74c198$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.484757.4%27 W · 20 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under77c160.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.951542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over26c159.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.68134.6%28 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.52441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Under76c140$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.853748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024158.1%140 W · 101 L+34.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.825456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.832656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.836259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.832755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.838358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Under75c106.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Under72c100.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2410050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed Over30c98.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.541435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under74c93$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.184355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under72c88$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.644654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over19c84.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6257744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over26c80.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-56.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Over20c76.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.041729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.93953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under74c63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.385050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb231…0363backed Over27c62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.744233.3%14 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.428458.8%167 W · 117 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.426259.5%156 W · 106 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.427661.6%170 W · 106 L+22.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.182157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.428359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.425560%153 W · 102 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.432158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Under73c54.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7927173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522244.1%98 W · 124 L+19.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51be…8facbacked Under75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over23c49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.273036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under72c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.444052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under74c47.93$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over26c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.441040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Over26c43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.181369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Over26c41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc34…799dbacked Over26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041040.5%166 W · 244 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Over28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x663b…e26cbacked Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedc2…e450backed Over26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Over26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.142055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over27c37.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1811460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Under74c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.362065%13 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under72c35.71$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1039156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.025650%28 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under74c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.025058%29 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x181d…c7e8backed Under75c26.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.732334.8%8 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-34.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under71c25.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5233057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.