TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79a4…3358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.24
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$265.12
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+763.1%+$381.54
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Grimsby Town FC vs. Weston-super-Mare AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+271.1%+$135.56
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$177.78
Will Exeter City FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Exeter City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+271.3%+$271.3
Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+309.1%+$309.05
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will West Ham United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moise Kean: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.