TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x39d3…9ef0backed No79c16,990$13,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.912847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No78c10,259$8,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.9710057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No79c10,118$7,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.359856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c9,854$2,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,293.376,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c6,827$5,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes30c5,852$1,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,756.2767042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c5,585$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.92,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No78c5,400$4,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c3,920$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.852,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c2,680$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.941,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes25c2,483$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.262623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c1,838$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.431,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes22c1,777$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9412454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes32c1,651$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.5296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3306829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes15c1,304$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes26c1,249$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.39929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes2c1,167$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5110341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No77c1,038$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.856759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed No79c1,022$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6213565.2%88 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03fb…fb80backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes21c967.03$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.346432.8%21 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes17c957.24$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1361143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes13c786.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No68c780.91$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.891,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes20c719.53$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7119732.5%64 W · 133 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bb…9943backed Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c692.25$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.431,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes25c681.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6141344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes31c659.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.586056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes21c573.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79a4…3358backed Yes20c493.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes22c450.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.811223.2%26 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes31c414.13$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.386144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No78c399.97$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes22c389.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes21c376.53$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes23c334.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.962420.8%5 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab82…abe5backed Yes30c330.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003531.4%11 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+44.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6630050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6632453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c3…301fbacked Yes15c300$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c270.97$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.251,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes31c270$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.723632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x026c…8d76backed Yes23c260$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e05…1b97backed No79c254.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.552035%7 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-42.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes13c230.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c95…2ab9backed Yes22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62a…a8efbacked Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Yes28c173.79$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x373d…8637backed Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes24c164.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7cb0…fafcbacked Yes22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353129%9 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…6e47backed Yes23c158.07$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-87.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.520246.5%94 W · 108 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No78c149.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No78c149.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes27c139.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.916150.9%82 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c116$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5213939.6%55 W · 84 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked No77c112.71$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.922466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes22c106.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4511850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes11c105.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+72.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510940.4%44 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes30c100.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045224.8%112 W · 340 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3e9…4c3cbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…a476backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210838.9%42 W · 66 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425339.1%99 W · 154 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes22c98.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.748943.8%39 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208259.8%49 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207931.6%25 W · 54 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a33…237dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Yes30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209840.8%40 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes22c86.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.964533.3%15 W · 30 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes23c86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.783839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c81.19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1651516.1%83 W · 432 L-49.9wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes31c80.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.446741.8%28 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No78c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.645751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d8a…9fb8backed Yes28c77.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58731%27 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf32…5159backed No69c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec5…58eabacked No77c73.82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.161650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.