TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$550,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$627,483

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $550,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c40,762$22,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,888.276,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes65c30,000$19,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,50016651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes57c29,565$16,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,833.82,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No35c29,182$10,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,968.310057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No36c29,010$10,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,596.9710236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No35c28,811$10,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,727.078453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No36c22,325$8,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,288.259856.1%55 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c20,577$13,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,149.551,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed No74c19,965$14,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.53450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No35c18,888$6,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,277.216848.8%82 W · 86 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c14,310$9,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,179.991,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c9,948$5,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,367.432,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Yes65c9,225$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.997147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes64c8,048$5,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,121.152,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No35c7,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5502646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No36c6,645$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.712847.7%61 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No36c6,560$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,198.2810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes37c6,164$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.311,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No36c6,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.8715748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2006240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Yes5c5,000$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.964318.6%8 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c4,219$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.2931944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes15c4,066$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes65c4,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No36c4,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.9245936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes50c3,844$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.124,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No36c3,683$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.724146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes65c3,274$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.361,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes79c3,024$2,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.9628070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9202466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Yes64c3,000$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9304643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92020448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No21c2,990$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.13473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No35c2,742$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,782.477653.9%41 W · 35 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc274…6d59backed Yes44c2,063$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.912437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-45.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbca…9863backed Yes22c2,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No36c1,944$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.4419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No35c1,900$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.4352454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5781…bbfbbacked No35c1,889$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+93.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbffe…3f31backed Yes64c1,800$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1604344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c1,709$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.91,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes65c1,655$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.756737.3%25 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed No36c1,610$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.41844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+52.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…d5dbbacked No37c1,563$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97526651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes64c1,500$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No41c1,483$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.241861.1%11 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.24per pick38cpaid+62.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.5724047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes14c1,394$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007433.8%25 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No36c1,348$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.8537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No34c1,287$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.4672249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes37c1,249$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.93959%23 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes64c1,092$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8845751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No35c1,086$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.95939%23 W · 36 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No41c1,030$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.751,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes10c1,005$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63011645.7%53 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6406759.7%40 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a32…0188backed Yes64c1,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6359756.7%55 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6308043.8%35 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No40c999.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.999358.1%54 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes59c979.39$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.843641.7%15 W · 21 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-27%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes65c938$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.712448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158f…34d4backed Yes63c900$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Yes64c900$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5766338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdc56…77cdbacked No36c899.99$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.991060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed No36c877.78$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Yes26c839$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.141729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes77c829.51$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.4821049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No13c792.31$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.317429.7%22 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick13cpaid+125%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb1f5…e4c2backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes66c757.58$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked Yes26c739.5$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.271080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6658…8afdbacked Yes64c724.5$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.681442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8655…6c78backed Yes64c650$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No35c649.99$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.56046.7%28 W · 32 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes26c614.6$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2722534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes63c607.61$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7985748.5%416 W · 441 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38413641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c1…7b5cbacked Yes64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No36c600$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38430050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed No36c555.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed No37c540$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.230059.7%179 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcaf3…5c85backed No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No41c499.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29512042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2232backed No13c483.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.111181.8%9 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.45per pick37cpaid+225.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005752.6%30 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc22…b893backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed No36c455.56$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.561637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459c…83f0backed No37c450$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.