TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe822…f89f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT9850%49 W · 49 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$51.83
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$101.3
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.4
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.97
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.23
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.68
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$22.88
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.13
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.03
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$46.07
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.25
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$55.05
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.29
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+41%+$23.75
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$33.31
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$97.39
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.44
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.5
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.58
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$62.25
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.07
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$65.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$127.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.1
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.82
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$70.77
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$140.61
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$77.78
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$14.92
Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+40.8%+$58.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+72.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.64
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$59.99
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+455.6%+$158.94
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$321.46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$54.36
Will Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$57.68
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$59.37
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$57.69
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$192.27
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$59.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-49.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.69
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+300%+$170.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$61.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$48.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$56.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$37.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.