NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce85ea0f245c21a399e672f9d3fcba39b0645d521ade827c72222fece6d2fc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Warriors, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,860,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,860,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pistons | 68c | 160,000$108,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,199.99 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 64c | 147,772$94,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,884.92 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Warriors | 32c | 129,320$41,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,426.12 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…a321backed Warriors | 32c | 82,217$26,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,309.35 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 35c | 77,000$26,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,949.97 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pistons | 70c | 76,251$53,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,875.32 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 33c | 66,570$21,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,641.45 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pistons | 68c | 65,197$44,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,906.41 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Warriors | 35c | 55,791$19,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,526.87 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Pistons | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Warriors | 32c | 49,632$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.73 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 65c | 47,718$31,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,487.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 46,546$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.93 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Pistons | 65c | 44,203$28,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400.37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 36c | 40,541$14,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,476.36 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 33c | 39,500$13,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,155.61 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Pistons | 68c | 38,707$26,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,386.15 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Warriors | 34c | 38,000$12,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,919.9 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 26c | 37,886$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,987.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Warriors | 50c | 37,671$18,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,742.11 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pistons | 67c | 35,360$23,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,741.59 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 9c | 33,426$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.79 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Warriors | 33c | 31,300$10,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,249 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 34c | 30,061$10,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,220.58 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Pistons | 68c | 28,815$19,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,095.35 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 63c | 21,667$13,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,087.47 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Warriors | 35c | 20,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Pistons | 74c | 18,990$14,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,920.49 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Warriors | 32c | 18,750$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 31c | 18,619$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.24 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked Warriors | 34c | 18,000$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…2108backed Pistons | 66c | 17,626$11,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 21c | 17,153$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons | 68c | 16,013$10,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,124.14 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 36c | 15,971$5,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,807.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Warriors | 0c | 15,958$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Pistons | 67c | 15,950$10,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,263.5 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…5068backed Warriors | 34c | 15,741$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,351.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Pistons | 66c | 15,726$10,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,347 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 32c | 15,700$5,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Warriors | 30c | 15,426$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.53 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Pistons | 72c | 15,232$10,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.49 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Warriors | 33c | 14,800$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,810.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons | 68c | 14,579$9,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,665.28 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Warriors | 34c | 11,765$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 66c | 10,905$7,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.25 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 37c | 10,285$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Warriors | 31c | 10,007$3,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,102.16 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Pistons | 69c | 10,000$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Pistons | 51c | 10,000$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.97 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed Warriors | 34c | 9,685$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Warriors | 1c | 9,643$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Warriors | 30c | 9,578$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.72 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 32c | 8,666$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.12 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Pistons | 67c | 8,110$5,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.35 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Warriors | 6c | 8,035$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.49 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pistons | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…163cbacked Pistons | 66c | 7,870$5,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…35cebacked Warriors | 34c | 7,521$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 68c | 7,438$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.16 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pistons | 69c | 7,371$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.01 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Pistons | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Pistons | 64c | 6,634$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.07 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 6,561$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Pistons | 69c | 6,405$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.47 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Warriors | 4c | 6,293$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.25 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Pistons | 64c | 6,250$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…95cbbacked Warriors | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Warriors | 31c | 5,987$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.01 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Pistons | 68c | 5,987$4,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.22 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons | 68c | 5,875$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Pistons | 66c | 5,730$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.15 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 70c | 5,729$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.57 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 26c | 5,693$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.37 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Warriors | 32c | 5,607$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.06 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Warriors | 32c | 5,521$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Warriors | 33c | 5,513$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 30c | 5,495$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.9 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 30c | 5,417$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.99 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Warriors | 35c | 5,333$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.01 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pistons | 75c | 5,303$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.35 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…66f2backed Pistons | 77c | 5,180$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.87 | 137 | 66.4%91 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pistons | 69c | 5,055$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.11 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Pistons | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Warriors | 36c | 4,929$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.44 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 31c | 4,894$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.18 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 29c | 4,722$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.02 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 34c | 4,600$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…6defbacked Warriors | 34c | 4,600$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…8e29backed Pistons | 65c | 4,495$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.23 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…99ddbacked Pistons | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.83 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Pistons | 66c | 4,300$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Warriors | 34c | 4,300$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.97 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 19c | 4,249$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Pistons | 67c | 4,179$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.1 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Warriors | 35c | 4,019$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.72 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pistons | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.