NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ae0edc77e531d2d4ed6237077c83cc09bdd637da79edbcb44f4d1a8a1c5d5f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,548 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 52c | 146,141$75,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,481.21 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 47c | 121,013$56,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,136.87 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 53c | 105,533$55,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,545.22 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Pistons | 50c | 100,813$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,813.02 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Pistons | 49c | 70,890$34,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,153.85 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 48c | 69,124$33,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,089.36 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 47c | 30,978$14,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,294.88 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 51c | 24,715$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,604.31 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…fdcabacked Warriors | 51c | 19,786$10,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…d4c4backed Pistons | 49c | 19,559$9,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,975.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…5e25backed Warriors | 51c | 17,982$9,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,170.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…deb9backed Pistons | 49c | 17,098$8,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,719.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…8b36backed Warriors | 51c | 13,600$6,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,936 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…8731backed Warriors | 51c | 13,566$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,918.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…ec5bbacked Warriors | 51c | 12,839$6,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,547.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…55c3backed Warriors | 51c | 12,753$6,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…bf75backed Warriors | 51c | 12,043$6,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,141.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13cc…b1ddbacked Pistons | 49c | 11,577$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…838abacked Pistons | 49c | 10,500$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45cb…6d23backed Warriors | 51c | 10,216$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…8460backed Warriors | 51c | 10,099$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 53c | 10,001$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.53 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…2f58backed Warriors | 51c | 9,875$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,036.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…d7ddbacked Pistons | 49c | 9,826$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,011.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Warriors | 56c | 9,267$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.78 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6657backed Pistons | 49c | 8,839$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.89 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Warriors | 55c | 8,552$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.59 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…55febacked Warriors | 51c | 8,437$4,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,302.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 51c | 7,998$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.11 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…98e9backed Pistons | 49c | 7,808$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors | 55c | 7,147$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f681backed Pistons | 49c | 6,953$3,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,546.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 46c | 6,668$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons | 49c | 6,143$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.05 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaaf…6c3dbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,994$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…8e1cbacked Warriors | 51c | 5,606$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…c0b1backed Warriors | 51c | 5,335$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…7ce7backed Warriors | 51c | 5,283$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…4517backed Pistons | 49c | 5,273$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54b…09c2backed Warriors | 51c | 5,270$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…2432backed Pistons | 49c | 5,010$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x274c…fd4fbacked Pistons | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613e…0bd3backed Warriors | 51c | 4,965$2,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,532.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…a363backed Pistons | 49c | 4,962$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…971ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,916$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 48c | 4,882$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.76 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…0db3backed Pistons | 49c | 4,863$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…a3b7backed Pistons | 49c | 4,844$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d505backed Pistons | 49c | 4,834$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…35f2backed Warriors | 51c | 4,788$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…b13dbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,787$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…1f01backed Warriors | 51c | 4,782$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…4afdbacked Pistons | 49c | 4,779$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Warriors | 52c | 4,762$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.17 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…b26ebacked Pistons | 49c | 4,738$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb249…4151backed Pistons | 49c | 4,692$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb044…8c94backed Pistons | 49c | 4,662$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f29…0f0fbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,661$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…7888backed Warriors | 51c | 4,608$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…7500backed Warriors | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…fea4backed Warriors | 51c | 4,596$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc6…b8f0backed Warriors | 51c | 4,594$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…4d01backed Warriors | 51c | 4,572$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…035abacked Warriors | 51c | 4,566$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cd…bb84backed Warriors | 51c | 4,509$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…547fbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,509$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc523…e9e5backed Warriors | 51c | 4,486$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe950…c27ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,486$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,287.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…3a5abacked Warriors | 51c | 4,482$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…8efdbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,426$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…e2b8backed Warriors | 51c | 4,419$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…ffeabacked Warriors | 51c | 4,408$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…c3cfbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,392$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 53c | 4,391$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…1eebbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,380$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…06febacked Warriors | 51c | 4,313$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…b77abacked Pistons | 49c | 4,298$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…5eaebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,292$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…5cb4backed Pistons | 49c | 4,278$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb331…e281backed Warriors | 51c | 4,265$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…a07cbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,186$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Pistons | 46c | 4,150$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa13d…91e1backed Warriors | 51c | 4,129$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…5c33backed Pistons | 49c | 4,098$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…5a78backed Warriors | 51c | 4,067$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f5…12c2backed Warriors | 51c | 4,043$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…ac07backed Pistons | 49c | 4,014$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…f301backed Warriors | 51c | 3,945$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Warriors | 53c | 3,910$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.3 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf1…6eebbacked Pistons | 49c | 3,858$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…2c83backed Warriors | 51c | 3,857$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…0b10backed Warriors | 51c | 3,835$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Warriors | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 52c | 3,429$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Warriors | 53c | 3,387$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 2,889$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.51 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…9ad4backed Pistons | 49c | 2,769$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…c117backed Pistons | 49c | 2,729$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc146…6f38backed Pistons | 49c | 2,723$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Caris LeVert: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Caris LeVert: Points O/U 8.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gui Santos: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Quinten Post: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Warriors vs. PistonsPistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 104.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.