TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf19d…276f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
429
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 62 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT23147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 231 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,453Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.73
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$37,955.14
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.89
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$4,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$7,566.87
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25,730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,730
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,083.68
Spread: Heat (-9.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,817.32
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,800
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,632Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,631.79
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,800
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,178.52
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,253.06
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$295.32
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.39
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57,488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$57,488.46
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,860.27
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.43
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$419.65
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,200
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$32,141
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,204.28
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,776Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$4,971.19
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11,629Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$10,615.85
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32,640Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32,640
Timberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,893.05
Showing 25 of 231 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.72
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,272Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,015.14
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,943.27
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35,765Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$29,742.01
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.41
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,946.22
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,576Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$3,058.99
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11,845Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,844.61
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,713Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,713.01
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,576.48
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$8,953Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$11,080.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$200.91
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10,054Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+128.5%+$12,920.41
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,784Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+129.2%+$10,058.43
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.94
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.39
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.92
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.37
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+136.4%+$8,556.66
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,138.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11,933.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26,363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.2%+$25,363.02
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,514Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$1,514
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20,138.24
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$20,000
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aston Villa FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,050.11
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41,573.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.86
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.2
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38,426Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,425.75
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35,909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$34,501.27
Crystal Palace FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25,750Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21,934.92
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13,176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6,787.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17,804Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,804.21
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28,579.79
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17,539Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,539.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+113%+$16,607.35
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$8,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,059.35
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,836Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,893.48
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$7,687.74
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17,027.19
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15,666.76
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$1,571.12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$21.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+222.6%+$890.11
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$20,533.25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,076Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+203%+$2,185
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32,831Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$34,170.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$999.12
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14,523Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10,956.11
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47,886.03
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29,163.13
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,280.56
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,277.84
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32,400
FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$119.61
1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49,580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49,580.38
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,161.95
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,073.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,097.51
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37,072Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$40,311.73
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$30,446.05
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,080.39
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$93,336.07
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023.73
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.09
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40,801Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$25,006.96
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19,819Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,818.82
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20,290.05
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$15,374.8
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21,879.05
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25,000
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$8,695.5
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,786Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$3,637.3
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+122.2%+$2,127.95
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,600
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23,556Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23,556.25
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48,711Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$51,519.95
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29,399.98
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20,813Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19,996.64
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11,677Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,677.02
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,499.93
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,699.99
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,828Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,610.74
Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$656.75
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,152.74
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,667.87
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30,192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,191.82
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,036.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68,799.85
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19,839.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,419Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,362.91
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,500
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43,753Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$29,168.57
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$159.25
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28,458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+194.4%+$55,318.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22,400.6
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,309.79
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43,200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,000
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.35
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$99.04
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Sevilla FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.18
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.91
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$8,649Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+195.4%+$16,902.93
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25,949Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+98%+$25,440.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,680.29
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25,861Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25,860.75
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,454Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,658.78
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$8,829Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,660.7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19,155.71
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19,917Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19,916.74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,770Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$7,122.86
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$5,853.54
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.52
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27,101.48
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40,759Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40,759
All 21 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$62,578.71
San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30,478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$47,671.3
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$949.17
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,276Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$1,134.89
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,135.85
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,794Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$844.4
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,274.35
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18,864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,863.68
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,123.84
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$14,362.24
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22,936.4
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30,564Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$31,811.76
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28,045Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$28,045.4
Atlanta United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$5,502.96
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$254.06
Orlando City SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,273Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$7,272.95
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,825Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15,825.3
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,583.56
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,996.7
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22,810Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22,810.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$35,874.3
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45,405.72
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34,980.46
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$28,000
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23,823Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20,293.25
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33,554Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$32,272.61
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25,748.59
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51,138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$50,851.67
Atalanta BC vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100.2%+$24,139.23
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$848Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$848.37
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29,500
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,184Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78%+$14,190.46
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$840
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$420.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,072.48
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31,461.96
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,939Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$5,012.84
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,862Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$5,060.32
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37,426Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$31,638.46
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,599Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$6,351.66
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900.16
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Metz: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,226.09
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29,652Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22,369.88
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$527
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12,404.26
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lithuania vs. Georgia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$352.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,636.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.