Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcacc767e01aa062359343b0f06d466cdc83e9900140306c3e72605dc839ee2af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 45c | 2,044$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Yes | 53c | 2,020$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 1,724$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.72 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 1,377$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.41 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Yes | 55c | 1,030$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 69c | 837.27$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.41 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 650.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 37c | 649$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 22c | 586$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 527.72$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 510.32$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.52 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 491.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.74 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 44c | 452.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 46c | 423.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 49c | 404.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 351.27$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.42 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 53c | 247.34$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 224.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.05 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 62c | 216.43$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 47c | 197$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 44c | 196.11$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 33c | 172$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 166.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.37 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 56c | 165.58$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 38c | 151$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 55c | 146$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…474dbacked Yes | 33c | 140.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 54c | 123.16$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 55c | 121$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 46c | 115.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 108.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 43c | 85.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 82.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked No | 52c | 79.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 49c | 78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Yes | 24c | 77.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 45c | 73.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked No | 56c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 70.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 61c | 70.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed No | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 62.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 56c | 61.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 61.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…77dfbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked Yes | 68c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 53c | 53.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed Yes | 79c | 51.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 54c | 50.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 80c | 46.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 72c | 44.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 42.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 45c | 40.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…5456backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 55c | 36.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 51c | 35.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 51c | 31.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Yes | 54c | 29.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 39c | 27.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 46c | 27.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed No | 45c | 24.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed No | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 53c | 22.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 56c | 21.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…addcbacked Yes | 56c | 21.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…54b5backed No | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.