TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cc9…c447

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.56
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.36
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Rockets (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$72.2
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.2
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$125.06
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.38
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Spread: Kings (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$18.36
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.55
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.7%+$90.9
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$18
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.43
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$15.77
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$25.28
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$9.53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.8
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5.63
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$10.27
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$29.62
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.92
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$14.9
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.94
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.9
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+54%+$21.05
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$36.45
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$2.84
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.92
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+183%+$19.4
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$18.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California-San Diego Tritons vs. CSUN Matadors: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$36.64
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Auburn Tigers vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.35
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$8.6
Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.68
Creighton Bluejays vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.47
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.08
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigers: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.85
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+232.7%+$116.09
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.13
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rocketsbacked Bowling Green Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.33
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$12.17
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.76
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Fordham Ramsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$10.3
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+204.2%+$71.72
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$19.49
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+140.7%+$22.21
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+152.5%+$18.12
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.63
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.41
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.95
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$28.65
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+49%+$5.59
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+200%+$30
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Jetsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Spread: Jets (-1.5)backed Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$13.71
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Flames vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$37.86
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.88
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$46.8
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$17.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35%+$22.8
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$41.5
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.3
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$91.81
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$8.88
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$14.49
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$8.09
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-46.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$6.08
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$19.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$103.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$38.48
Zadar: Nerman Fatic vs Tiago Pereirabacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$12.34
Zadar: Laurent Lokoli vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$8.28
Miami Open, Qualification: Madison Brengle vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$17.59
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88.69
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$63.66
Learner Tien vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.95
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.32
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Real Madrid vs. Valenciabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$7.36
BC Dubai vs. Saski Baskoniabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$9.35
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.