TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Red Wings, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,373,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,373,129 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44fd…b634backed Red Wings52c210,754$109,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,522.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Panthers48c192,935$92,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,326.0219848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Red Wings52c70,000$36,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,40024349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings48c57,914$27,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,798.7267051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Panthers52c37,772$19,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,288.81,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Red Wings50c22,252$11,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,125.9822550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Panthers52c22,002$11,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.8651550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Panthers50c19,985$9,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,992.392540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Panthers48c18,082$8,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,421.511,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Panthers48c15,624$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,124.4836748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Panthers49c14,598$7,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.5218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Panthers51c10,300$5,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04712047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Panthers52c10,209$5,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900.43554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings45c10,062$4,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,486.3161748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Panthers52c9,985$5,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,745.0540356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings46c8,514$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.421,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings57c7,951$4,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,508.2189355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings47c7,447$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50050049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings52c7,091$3,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,655.0727448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Panthers53c7,014$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,296.5826849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Red Wings48c6,937$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,300.3414142.6%60 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Panthers49c6,528$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,331.071,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings51c6,521$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.3479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9489547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Red Wings51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.8615145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Panthers53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9929146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Panthers49c4,300$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.8464242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Panthers50c4,041$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,020.514957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Panthers52c4,000$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.5160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Red Wings47c3,969$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87628152%146 W · 135 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Panthers49c3,880$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.813147.3%62 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2b…34e4backed Panthers48c3,880$1,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Panthers44c3,855$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.8839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Panthers52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.158544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Red Wings53c3,794$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9258…99a3backed Red Wings46c3,698$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7feb…9383backed Panthers54c3,698$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked Panthers48c3,651$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Panthers48c3,329$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Panthers49c3,084$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.67633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Panthers49c3,052$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,551.686147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Red Wings46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38013333.1%44 W · 89 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed Red Wings46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Panthers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.971,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings42c2,929$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.9930259.6%180 W · 122 L+31.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Red Wings53c2,914$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.431723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers52c2,884$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.4359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Panthers52c2,728$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.2643548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Panthers52c2,700$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.5345749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Panthers52c2,695$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.0527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Red Wings33c2,666$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.177352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panthers48c2,579$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.861,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…e964backed Panthers67c2,577$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.391060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers53c2,500$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1751,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Panthers54c2,500$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.734450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Red Wings53c2,397$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.6814837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Red Wings71c2,372$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.7657157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Panthers52c2,222$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Panthers54c2,171$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.4383652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Panthers50c2,084$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0422339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Panthers48c1,989$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0252842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Panthers54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.474252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers52c1,813$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.1447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers48c1,782$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.11,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers53c1,716$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.5863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers49c1,673$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.172,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Red Wings33c1,645$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+93.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings37c1,623$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7560337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Panthers68c1,600$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Panthers54c1,595$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.2248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Panthers54c1,576$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.7886549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Panthers48c1,544$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.886456.3%36 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings49c1,531$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.21,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Panthers52c1,496$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.166256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Red Wings49c1,421$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Panthers52c1,337$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.945955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings49c1,324$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Red Wings49c1,300$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.9591653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Panthers51c1,271$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.8925447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Panthers52c1,137$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4915651.3%80 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Panthers44c1,077$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6443742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Red Wings46c1,061$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0121048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x968d…6947backed Panthers52c1,050$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Panthers54c1,025$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.6719051.1%97 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb549…b6f1backed Red Wings47c1,003$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Panthers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Panthers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Panthers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Red Wings52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd0…865fbacked Panthers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Red Wings52c969.13$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4126…29fbbacked Panthers54c912.8$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Red Wings48c910$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43470249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Panthers39c900$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.8999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers40c887.3$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.072,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Red Wings47c876.86$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6143456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x582f…f399backed Panthers54c859$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+39.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Panthers47c832.65$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.486355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.