TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbddc…83b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
335
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT12951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Luis Potosi: Alan Magadan vs Matias Sotobacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$967Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$967.15
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.91
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.71
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.5
Sao Leopoldo: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Paulo Dos Santosbacked Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.36
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Quentin Halysbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,082Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$961.99
Morelia: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Borna Gojobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.47
Sao Paulo: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.7
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$543Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.41
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$3,087.19
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$898.97
Miami Open, Qualification: Alexander Blockx vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000.12
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,158
Miami Open, Qualification: Arthur Fery vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicakbacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$666.15
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas Jarrybacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$998
Miami Open, Qualification: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Diane Parrybacked Lucrezia Stefanini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Marina Stakusicbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+71%+$386.08
Miami Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$1,046.61
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.85
Miami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$913.23
Miami Open, Qualification: Reese Brantmeier vs Yue Yuanbacked Reese Brantmeier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$852
Phoenix: Marcos Giron vs Ethan Quinnbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$697
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT7048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.85
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$597.43
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-5.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$561.86
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$747Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$747.25
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$741.77
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$418.85
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,803Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,036.57
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,983.38
Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zipsbacked Toledo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.63
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.37
Vermont Catamounts vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.6
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.65
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66%+$327.24
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$769Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.23
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.81
Alabama A&M Bulldogs vs. Texas Southern Tigersbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$335.48
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$793.81
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked Georgetown Hoyas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$988.68
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391.26
Delaware State Hornets vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Morgan State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$994Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$994.24
Furman Paladins vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$509.71
New Orleans Privateers vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.85
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-5.5)backed Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.44
California-San Diego Tritons vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked California-San Diego Tritons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+87.2%+$289.11
Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$495.63
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$448.55
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.65
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,259.51
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$502
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$833.9
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,523
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$1,028.71
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.6
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$3,187.5
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$1,073.89
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,271.88
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,734.96
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450.82
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$776.58
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$353
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+136.1%+$828.91
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$324
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$410
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$431.08
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$350
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$199
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$614.63
UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Lerryan Douglas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$203.74
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.7
UFC Fight Night: Kyle Nelson vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Nelson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Ignacio Bahamondes vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ignacio Bahamondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Tyrell Fortune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.36
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$609
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Marwan Rahiki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$158.46
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Vitor Petrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$597.54
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$671
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$173.61
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Raul Rosas Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$87.84
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$142
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$132
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+156.4%+$273.72
UFC 326: Cody Brundage vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$71
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+57.6%+$236.3
UFC 326: Sumudaerji vs. Jesus Aguilar (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Sumudaerji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$159.84
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Zellhuber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,001.85
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$174
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$500
UFC Fight Night: Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Silva de Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
UFC Fight Night: Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Regina Tarin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Ernesta Kareckaite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$250
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+192.1%+$345.86
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.37
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$428.7
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114.9%+$808.96
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$194
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$159
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$450
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+95.1%+$235.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+66.7%+$216.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$194.97
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$325
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$639.72
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$127.74
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.86
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$175.88
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$111.92
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$233
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$211.37
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$100
LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+270.4%+$159.52
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$217.3
All 24 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-54.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$1,133.48
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,476
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,189
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,442.1
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,012.94
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544.43
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$484.33
Bruins vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+91.8%+$1,164.01
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$333
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$750.21
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$222
All 17 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,792Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,792.37
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$184
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$146.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$402.79
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$186.21
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.51
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$352.04
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$641.55
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$986Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$839.66
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+95.1%+$201.19
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+203%+$430.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,490.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$447.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.