NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d1d08f1cb8ebf43180b18520cc2db035762e669a4126fa406f32ac36a76f529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Grizzlies, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $990,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $990,143 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 820 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Grizzlies | 9c | 70,383$6,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.45 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bulls | 73c | 40,226$29,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,731.48 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 20c | 26,963$5,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,332.02 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Grizzlies | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed Bulls | 78c | 24,389$18,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,414.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Bulls | 71c | 21,604$15,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.2 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Grizzlies | 22c | 21,466$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.86 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 73c | 20,085$14,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,479.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 19,763$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.4 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bulls | 72c | 18,150$13,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.98 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bulls | 69c | 16,902$11,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,208.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Grizzlies | 28c | 15,592$4,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.86 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Grizzlies | 23c | 12,455$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.08 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 11,187$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.25 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Bulls | 72c | 10,000$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Grizzlies | 31c | 9,000$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816.08 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Grizzlies | 24c | 8,828$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.55 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Grizzlies | 0c | 8,771$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 1c | 8,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Bulls | 68c | 8,000$5,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.99 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.93 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…e17dbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 7,900$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…506dbacked Bulls | 69c | 7,900$5,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.97 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Grizzlies | 22c | 7,202$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.83 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls | 72c | 7,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Grizzlies | 31c | 6,800$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Bulls | 69c | 6,800$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bulls | 70c | 6,729$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.71 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls | 76c | 6,571$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Grizzlies | 29c | 6,419$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.51 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 20c | 6,400$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.89 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ded…f3d8backed Bulls | 69c | 6,323$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 25c | 6,240$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.97 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Bulls | 69c | 6,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Grizzlies | 31c | 5,950$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Bulls | 68c | 5,886$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.06 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 70c | 5,835$4,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Grizzlies | 28c | 5,787$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.85 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Grizzlies | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 29c | 4,796$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 4,702$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.39 | 263 | 53.6%141 W · 122 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Grizzlies | 29c | 4,571$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Grizzlies | 30c | 4,444$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.2 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 4,288$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies | 30c | 4,093$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.63 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Grizzlies | 31c | 4,030$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.3 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 74c | 3,856$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 69c | 3,797$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.59 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc6…ae58backed Grizzlies | 31c | 3,533$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 28c | 3,500$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Grizzlies | 30c | 3,452$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.54 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bulls | 71c | 3,451$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.7 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Grizzlies | 32c | 3,369$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.78 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bulls | 70c | 3,291$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Grizzlies | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Grizzlies | 31c | 3,117$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.27 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fa…de8ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 3,102$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f6…8f75backed Grizzlies | 31c | 3,100$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 32c | 3,100$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Bulls | 72c | 3,056$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.56 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies | 31c | 2,920$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.2 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Grizzlies | 30c | 2,765$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.8 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Grizzlies | 27c | 2,712$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.26 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…1b48backed Bulls | 71c | 2,684$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Bulls | 68c | 2,667$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.62 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,624$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.79 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…4277backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,522$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d2…1ae6backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,477$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Bulls | 74c | 2,397$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.13 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,393$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.08 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 2,357$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…33dfbacked Bulls | 69c | 2,319$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…3912backed Bulls | 71c | 2,312$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 70c | 2,277$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.59 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Grizzlies | 32c | 2,250$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Grizzlies | 28c | 2,195$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.57 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,028$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.18 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Grizzlies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…f763backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2f…0baebacked Grizzlies | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 69c | 1,991$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.2 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bulls | 71c | 1,975$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 1c | 1,974$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bulls | 69c | 1,960$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.6 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Grizzlies | 30c | 1,865$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.5 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Grizzlies | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,784$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.75 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,766$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…db08backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,743$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies | 18c | 1,719$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.59 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3312…437fbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,701$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…1019backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,689$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e2…db79backed Bulls | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Grizzlies | 31c | 1,600$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Grizzlies | 32c | 1,569$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 27c | 1,551$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Grizzlies | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.99 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Grizzlies | 33c | 1,497$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Bullsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.