NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bedda10f6e7e5e2a744f7252f74d9023e08eeaa0c772af05e8d6d4aee2cf614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Bulls, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,096 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 45c | 8,226$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Bulls | 52c | 6,711$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.49 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 53c | 5,968$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.61 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…79f1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,775$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 54c | 4,385$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.14 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 3,868$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.05 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Bulls | 55c | 2,397$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.65 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 58c | 2,058$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Grizzlies | 46c | 1,468$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.55 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 1,464$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,388$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 53c | 1,353$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.72 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Bulls | 58c | 988.1$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Bulls | 52c | 817.7$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.3 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 46c | 776.02$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 710.54$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.21 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 600.07$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Bulls | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…7e7fbacked Bulls | 56c | 499.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 45c | 483.55$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies | 47c | 482$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…8f23backed Grizzlies | 44c | 422.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Grizzlies | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies | 44c | 275.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.12 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Grizzlies | 44c | 257.11$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Grizzlies | 44c | 243.1$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Bulls | 51c | 242.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bulls | 56c | 241.02$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 44c | 226.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 191.59$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Bulls | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90cc…5d9cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 186$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 44c | 173$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4774…1809backed Grizzlies | 47c | 167$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bulls | 60c | 165.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…2f42backed Grizzlies | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…3a66backed Grizzlies | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Bulls | 54c | 104.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Bulls | 56c | 103.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bulls | 56c | 102.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Bulls | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…c5c0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 81.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…078bbacked Bulls | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…65bbbacked Bulls | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Bulls | 69c | 72.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bulls | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Grizzlies | 47c | 69.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad4…1be5backed Bulls | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5167…9c65backed Bulls | 53c | 62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 61.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…379abacked Bulls | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…af88backed Grizzlies | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Grizzlies | 46c | 58.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulls | 55c | 55.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Grizzlies | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…191fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4460…9b5bbacked Bulls | 53c | 50.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Grizzlies | 46c | 49.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…00b0backed Bulls | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…39cdbacked Bulls | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Grizzlies | 44c | 45.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Grizzlies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Grizzlies | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…e2d9backed Bulls | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…ccebbacked Bulls | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Bulls | 54c | 44.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Bulls | 56c | 44.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb5…2509backed Bulls | 53c | 44.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Bulls | 54c | 41.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 40.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Grizzlies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…82b5backed Grizzlies | 46c | 40.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 54c | 40.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Grizzlies | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…4291backed Bulls | 53c | 38.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff37…710ebacked Bulls | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…582cbacked Bulls | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 51c | 34.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Grizzlies | 48c | 33.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bulls | 54c | 32.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Grizzlies | 48c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9566…d798backed Bulls | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…4734backed Grizzlies | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…735fbacked Bulls | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 53c | 30.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Bulls | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 29.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Bulls | 52c | 28.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Bulls | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…095fbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 27.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…8f8cbacked Bulls | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Grizzlies | 46c | 25.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Bulls won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Collin Sexton: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Grizzlies vs. BullsBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Spread: Bulls (-6.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Bulls (-7.5)Bulls won
- Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.