TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb91…f1ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
172
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.36
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.66
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.48
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.02
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$99.87
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$52.48
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.05
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.49
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$11.52
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.99
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$23.98
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$23.89
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$11.26
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27%+$20.02
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.2
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+339.8%+$225.41
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$43.81
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.67
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$49.34
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.72
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$26.07
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.72
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.68
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)backed Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.56
Spread: Houston Cougars (-9.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$14.9
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 140.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.65
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.43
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.07
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-21.5)backed Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.72
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.28
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Lightning vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.38
Flames vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.61
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$9.13
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.52
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Kraken vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.65
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.43
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.2
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.15
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Flyers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.67
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.39
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$40.23
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$45.67
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20.2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+73.6%+$40.15
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.37
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$74.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$26.27
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.35
Will Russell Henley finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Will Corey Conners finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Patrick Reed finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.5
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.93
Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$34.94
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$50.25
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.99
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$50.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.