NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8e4928d6b4e1d0ee071b54e16b70f31f5f74a4eda95ba8f0c8f2fa47de8b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 27c | 88,550$24,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,322.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canucks | 28c | 58,600$16,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,358 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Lightning | 72c | 54,931$39,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,380.79 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lightning | 72c | 50,856$36,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,155.22 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canucks | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canucks | 27c | 16,500$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.97 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Canucks | 28c | 16,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 72c | 12,456$8,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,487.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Lightning | 73c | 11,885$8,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.97 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Lightning | 72c | 10,860$7,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.8 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Canucks | 15c | 9,712$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 71c | 8,800$6,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Canucks | 29c | 8,651$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.25 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Lightning | 72c | 8,132$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…6d4ebacked Lightning | 72c | 7,699$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Lightning | 72c | 5,400$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lightning | 73c | 4,922$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.76 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Lightning | 72c | 4,663$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.5 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Canucks | 28c | 4,628$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Canucks | 29c | 4,500$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed Canucks | 28c | 4,444$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.54 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Canucks | 28c | 4,210$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.8 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Lightning | 74c | 4,147$3,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Lightning | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Lightning | 72c | 3,821$2,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 71c | 3,500$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Lightning | 72c | 3,472$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canucks | 29c | 3,448$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Lightning | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lightning | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lightning | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Lightning | 73c | 3,400$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.98 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked Lightning | 72c | 3,320$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Canucks | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.98 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canucks | 28c | 2,920$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 72c | 2,859$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.65 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 71c | 2,800$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Canucks | 28c | 2,794$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 71c | 2,746$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Lightning | 73c | 2,626$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.1 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lightning | 72c | 2,626$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.26 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Lightning | 73c | 2,550$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Lightning | 73c | 2,499$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.63 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Lightning | 72c | 2,278$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.85 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Lightning | 74c | 2,135$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Canucks | 28c | 2,111$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.08 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks | 28c | 2,096$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canucks | 16c | 2,006$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.88 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Canucks | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Lightning | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…9f9bbacked Canucks | 17c | 1,959$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Canucks | 27c | 1,877$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.67 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 14c | 1,869$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Lightning | 74c | 1,864$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lightning | 72c | 1,839$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.02 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lightning | 79c | 1,838$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.57 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Lightning | 72c | 1,800$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Lightning | 72c | 1,700$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Lightning | 73c | 1,626$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e8…2525backed Lightning | 73c | 1,575$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Canucks | 6c | 1,554$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Canucks | 1c | 1,488$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canucks | 3c | 1,430$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Canucks | 27c | 1,384$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lightning | 72c | 1,255$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.45 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Lightning | 72c | 1,221$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.86 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Canucks | 4c | 1,137$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked Lightning | 74c | 1,013$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.74 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lightning | 71c | 1,008$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lightning | 72c | 1,000$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.35 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Lightning | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…aa24backed Lightning | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Canucks | 28c | 970$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.6 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Lightning | 74c | 949.75$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Canucks | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lightning | 72c | 889$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.92 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Lightning | 73c | 828.16$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 73c | 690$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Lightning | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Canucks | 13c | 588$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.44 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7195…30ccbacked Canucks | 29c | 560$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…1ff6backed Lightning | 72c | 560$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Canucks | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Lightning | 73c | 507$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Lightning | 72c | 500.25$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Canucks | 28c | 481.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Lightning | 72c | 467.9$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Canucks | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Canucks | 28c | 446.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Lightning | 74c | 440.7$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Canucks | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…0b60backed Lightning | 72c | 400$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…168abacked Lightning | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Lightning | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Lightning | 73c | 323$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Lightning | 73c | 311$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Lightning | 73c | 310$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lightning vs. Canucksthis page
- Lightning vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Lightning vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Lightning won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.