TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc6b…e7bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
24
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Olympics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$101
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$98.95
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$65.08
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$908.58
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$327.09
Lightning vs. Flamesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$438.99
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$326.78
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$260.05
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$312.93
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maple Leafs vs. Lightningbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$125.99
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.