Olympics · resolved market
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1bd4518e8ce37b5dcfdde8e8b75407f3b1f9972cdd1a4e35d938e8c7fb47e42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof USA, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,176,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,176,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked Sweden | 28c | 188,532$52,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,789.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed USA | 72c | 133,721$96,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,441.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sweden | 28c | 111,832$31,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,305.07 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed USA | 72c | 111,000$79,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,080 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed USA | 72c | 105,040$75,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,360.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Sweden | 29c | 60,973$17,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,572.39 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sweden | 29c | 52,709$15,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,168.1 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed USA | 71c | 45,262$32,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,126.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Sweden | 29c | 32,582$9,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,448.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Sweden | 24c | 30,000$7,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,273.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sweden | 33c | 28,644$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,575.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked USA | 71c | 26,100$18,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,573.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Sweden | 27c | 24,383$6,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,550.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed USA | 73c | 23,345$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,344.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…eecfbacked Sweden | 25c | 20,879$5,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Sweden | 28c | 20,498$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.2 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked USA | 72c | 20,098$14,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,653.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked USA | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Sweden | 23c | 20,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed USA | 72c | 20,000$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.94 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Sweden | 28c | 20,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked USA | 63c | 18,300$11,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked USA | 70c | 16,384$11,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed USA | 69c | 15,349$10,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.24 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Sweden | 35c | 13,512$4,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,701.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked USA | 72c | 13,400$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sweden | 28c | 13,000$3,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,640 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed USA | 72c | 12,232$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sweden | 27c | 11,575$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Sweden | 29c | 11,000$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sweden | 29c | 11,000$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Sweden | 8c | 10,709$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Sweden | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Sweden | 28c | 9,630$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…30c6backed USA | 73c | 8,858$6,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed USA | 72c | 8,535$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed USA | 75c | 8,500$6,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USA | 73c | 8,432$6,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed USA | 72c | 8,345$6,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sweden | 37c | 8,109$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Sweden | 27c | 7,800$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed USA | 70c | 7,698$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Sweden | 28c | 7,150$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Sweden | 23c | 5,671$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed USA | 73c | 5,658$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sweden | 28c | 5,520$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Sweden | 20c | 5,490$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked USA | 72c | 5,400$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Sweden | 28c | 5,359$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Sweden | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Sweden | 29c | 5,172$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed USA | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…9224backed USA | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed USA | 78c | 5,000$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Sweden | 28c | 4,263$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked USA | 72c | 4,260$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed USA | 76c | 4,056$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Sweden | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Sweden | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sweden | 13c | 3,759$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.72 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Sweden | 29c | 3,480$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed USA | 72c | 3,333$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked USA | 70c | 3,330$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed USA | 76c | 3,280$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Sweden | 28c | 3,206$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USA | 74c | 3,004$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.86 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Sweden | 31c | 2,950$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d4…ffb3backed USA | 70c | 2,728$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed USA | 65c | 2,727$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Sweden | 31c | 2,697$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Sweden | 24c | 2,571$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.39 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed USA | 72c | 2,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sweden | 21c | 2,500$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Sweden | 28c | 2,483$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed USA | 73c | 2,372$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Sweden | 15c | 2,359$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…06e9backed USA | 72c | 2,330$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Sweden | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Sweden | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sweden | 27c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed USA | 78c | 1,990$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed USA | 64c | 1,923$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.33 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…ac7fbacked Sweden | 17c | 1,860$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…17c3backed Sweden | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sweden | 23c | 1,787$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Sweden | 29c | 1,769$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Sweden | 28c | 1,732$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Sweden | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked USA | 70c | 1,674$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked Sweden | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…697ebacked Sweden | 32c | 1,634$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked USA | 63c | 1,571$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.07 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed USA | 75c | 1,570$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62b…625dbacked USA | 72c | 1,528$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…3d8cbacked USA | 75c | 1,523$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked USA | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Sweden | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked USA | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed USA | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Sweden | 30c | 1,430$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.