TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd58…18f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
380
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT21144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,741Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,740.94
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,844Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,635.09
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,558.86
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$504.68
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,224.97
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.86
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,750
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,850
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,533.33
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,079.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$6,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,479.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,099.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$465.75
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$4,299.98
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$6,099.88
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,415.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14,928Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$8,778.36
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,899.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,990
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,830.15
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,098.74
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,249.99
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$8,760Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$6,239.99
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.45
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$169.17
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$4,124.94
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,499.93
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,397.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,460
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,028Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,027.78
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$360.18
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.03
Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,200
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$799Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.03
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$817
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.43
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,234.63
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.99
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.92
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,410.44
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.72
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,621.6
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,559Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$1,618.65
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,839.78
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.45
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.86
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,279.96
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,925Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$4,574.97
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,079.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,479.99
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,039.96
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.28
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,666Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,110.8
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,784.71
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$5,880
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$2,519.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,879.95
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,210.56
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,889Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,888.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$3,038.73
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,520
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$559.16
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,009Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,711.2
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+95.1%+$1,104.49
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,554Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$1,926.4
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,133.31
EWC Cs2: 3DMAX vs. The MongolZbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$859.54
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mitch Marner win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,891Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+199.8%+$7,774.2
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+289%+$281.83
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$163.67
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$53.54
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,193.54
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.45
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000.04
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.92
Oilers vs. Canucksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,994.99
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,860
Kings vs. Starsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,240.36
Canadiens vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,147Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,953
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,561Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,499.4
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.98
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,420
Devils vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,492Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,227.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.57
South Carolina Gamecocks vs. UCLA Bruins (W)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,931Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$3,432.61
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,675Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,824.99
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24,893Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7,023.26
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.53
Northeastern Huskies vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,958Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,957.64
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,843.82
Stanford Cardinal vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,686.23
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$291.43
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Saint Louis Billikens: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$222.06
Cleveland State Vikings vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$306.37
Texas Longhorns vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$3,965
Miami Hurricanes vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$46.48
Fordham Rams vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 130.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$573Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$507.83
Fordham Rams vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+94.6%+$1,556.37
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights: O/U 169.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$378
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knights: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$54.98
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.54
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$420.81
Connecticut Sun vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.72
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,237.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX (BO5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$1,920
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$2,250
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,124
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.