NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3dfc75035fd746563d182874b4bdfbd460910e1bb3bba62234df3567219fcf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Red Wings, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $440,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 604 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 51c | 58,101$29,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,326.6 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Red Wings | 48c | 50,000$24,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,129.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,499.96 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Red Wings | 49c | 35,849$17,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,500.88 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Red Wings | 48c | 34,500$16,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,544.98 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Sabres | 51c | 34,214$17,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,845.13 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sabres | 51c | 33,929$17,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,520.02 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Sabres | 53c | 31,002$16,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,581.2 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 49c | 23,222$11,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,356.13 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sabres | 51c | 21,553$10,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,576.19 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Sabres | 51c | 17,090$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,335.01 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 51c | 13,945$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.36 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 50c | 12,707$6,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.71 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Sabres | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 10,012$4,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,906 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Sabres | 53c | 9,950$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Sabres | 53c | 9,558$5,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sabres | 51c | 8,995$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.54 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 45c | 7,462$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.86 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 50c | 7,304$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.59 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 7,048$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.9 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Red Wings | 47c | 6,578$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.87 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Red Wings | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Red Wings | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 47c | 4,882$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.4 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Sabres | 50c | 4,856$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.32 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Red Wings | 50c | 4,172$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 49c | 4,160$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.22 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9313…84fbbacked Red Wings | 50c | 4,080$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Sabres | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Sabres | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02b…4e65backed Sabres | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Sabres | 51c | 3,863$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.86 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sabres | 52c | 3,692$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.04 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sabres | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.89 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Sabres | 51c | 3,060$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Sabres | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Sabres | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.57 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Sabres | 50c | 2,033$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.32 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 2,026$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Sabres | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Sabres | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Red Wings | 48c | 2,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,935$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.03 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Sabres | 50c | 1,863$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.76 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Red Wings | 70c | 1,508$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.81 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Red Wings | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.23 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Sabres | 43c | 1,408$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.05 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 52c | 1,362$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,250$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.99 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,246$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sabres | 51c | 1,229$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 56c | 1,207$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.98 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…75dbbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…cf04backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sabres | 48c | 1,102$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.95 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sabres | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…81d6backed Sabres | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b95…d040backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Sabres | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Sabres | 52c | 999.29$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Wings | 50c | 876$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Red Wings | 49c | 820.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sabres | 51c | 819.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.8 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be1…bb93backed Red Wings | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Sabres | 51c | 700$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.88 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Sabres | 51c | 699.92$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.96 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 58c | 655$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Sabres | 52c | 624.17$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Red Wings | 5c | 601.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Red Wings | 50c | 600.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Red Wings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Red Wings | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Sabres | 59c | 571.82$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Wings | 27c | 540$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.4 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9fbbbacked Red Wings | 49c | 521.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…6950backed Sabres | 52c | 512.25$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc35…dfd5backed Red Wings | 49c | 512.24$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Red Wings | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sabres | 49c | 486.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.36 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40c4…a817backed Sabres | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd14…d30dbacked Red Wings | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91de…7044backed Sabres | 52c | 438.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…4114backed Red Wings | 49c | 438.45$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Sabres | 53c | 431.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Red Wings | 49c | 420.43$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.01 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Red Wings | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Sabres | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Red Wings | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…b291backed Sabres | 52c | 392.31$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Red Wings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Red Wings | 49c | 391.76$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…1c94backed Red Wings | 49c | 388.47$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…2776backed Sabres | 52c | 388.46$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Sabresthis page
- Red Wings vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.