TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd339…d3a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST3946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Senators vs. Starsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,177.17
Canucks vs. Kingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,950
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$2,900
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$2,039.99
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,519.98
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,279.99
Kraken vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,560
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,790Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,789.96
Blackhawks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+62.6%+$1,251.71
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+102.8%+$2,428.76
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+150%+$2,625
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$282.03
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+93.5%+$1,974.02
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,920
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,070
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,950
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,879Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,360.8
Senators vs. Blackhawksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,166.98
Lightning vs. Predatorsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,770Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$1,230
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$386.39
Flames vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,850
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,140
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.47
Rangers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$280.18
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Raptors vs. Wizardsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$416.46
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$1,169.96
Will Lebron announce he's retiring Tuesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$139.8
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$102.14
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+130.8%+$2,549.96
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,362Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+75.8%+$1,033.13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,005.4
Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$745.31
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+25%+$261.93
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$243
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$1,346.15
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+47%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+154.9%+$722.18
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$560
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,193.71
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+96.1%+$1,469.99
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,680
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,665Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+170.3%+$2,835
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+400%+$1,600
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$2,200
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$14.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$28.76
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+59.5%+$141.02
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+122.2%+$1,100
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 7.5-10%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2024, EST-100%-$161.7
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2024, EST-100%-$67.5
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 5-7.5%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST+156.3%+$8,289.66
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 2.5-5%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$19
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 0-2.5%backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2024, EST-100%-$33
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,843.99
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.34
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,162.32
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,779.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.72
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,160.26
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27,428Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+46.3%+$12,690.07
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+72.4%+$3,620.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,560
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+101.3%+$2,025.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,635Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,492.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,694Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$2,105.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$80.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.