NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4f82128456bce11bfcd383868ed927b0d414820f5391306122118d20039dc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Blues, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $595,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $609,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Penguins | 48c | 79,939$38,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,582.44 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Blues | 53c | 62,502$33,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,274.81 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Blues | 52c | 45,864$23,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,849.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Penguins | 49c | 37,874$18,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,431.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blues | 51c | 34,682$17,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,849.12 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Blues | 52c | 34,171$17,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,804.76 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Blues | 53c | 32,000$16,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,959.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 48c | 29,225$14,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,132.01 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blues | 52c | 28,196$14,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,607.27 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 49c | 24,579$12,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,498.83 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 48c | 23,530$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,196.4 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…80f3backed Penguins | 50c | 15,470$7,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9724…150ebacked Blues | 50c | 15,470$7,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,735 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blues | 50c | 14,578$7,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,288.96 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 51c | 13,123$6,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,663.7 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blues | 29c | 12,911$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.21 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Penguins | 48c | 11,204$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.44 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 47c | 10,835$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.1 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blues | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Penguins | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Penguins | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blues | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.86 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Penguins | 49c | 9,760$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.65 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blues | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blues | 52c | 8,995$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.4 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Penguins | 53c | 8,898$4,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,220.51 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…0622backed Blues | 54c | 7,388$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blues | 50c | 6,625$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,312.35 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Penguins | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.98 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penguins | 78c | 5,905$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.57 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blues | 39c | 5,133$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Penguins | 70c | 5,118$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.83 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Penguins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Blues | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Blues | 45c | 4,720$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Penguins | 49c | 4,468$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Penguins | 50c | 4,468$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.79 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Blues | 51c | 4,065$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.18 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Penguins | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 51c | 3,892$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.59 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Penguins | 71c | 3,531$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.99 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 71c | 3,471$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.59 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Penguins | 47c | 3,450$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…d900backed Penguins | 49c | 3,400$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc44…7269backed Penguins | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…6b18backed Blues | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Blues | 51c | 2,952$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.04 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…5959backed Blues | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Blues | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Penguins | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Blues | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 47c | 2,221$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.58 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Penguins | 47c | 2,200$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Penguins | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebe…3ea2backed Penguins | 49c | 2,173$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…1082backed Penguins | 47c | 2,072$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb9…f5ddbacked Blues | 52c | 2,048$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Penguins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Blues | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Penguins | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Blues | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…f218backed Penguins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Blues | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Blues | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Penguins | 48c | 1,943$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.36 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Penguins | 72c | 1,903$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.74 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed Penguins | 48c | 1,879$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…96dbbacked Blues | 52c | 1,879$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penguins | 60c | 1,853$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 70c | 1,847$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Blues | 50c | 1,838$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.14 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…2890backed Penguins | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f6…bc2fbacked Penguins | 47c | 1,833$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Penguins | 48c | 1,732$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.64 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…4923backed Blues | 51c | 1,680$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…adc2backed Penguins | 49c | 1,680$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x927d…c7d4backed Penguins | 49c | 1,650$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…3f09backed Blues | 51c | 1,650$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…d255backed Penguins | 47c | 1,650$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…5bf7backed Penguins | 49c | 1,638$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.3 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…c07abacked Penguins | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa866…be65backed Blues | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Blues | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Penguins | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Penguins | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Penguins | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…5731backed Blues | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…ce9fbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Penguins | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blues | 51c | 1,490$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.83 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Penguins | 47c | 1,479$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.68 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Blues | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blues | 2c | 1,406$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked Penguins | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Blues | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Penguinsthis page
- Blues vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.