TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8a3…801c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$277.16
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,377.7
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$1,560
Canucks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+40.8%+$861.3
Utah vs. Sabresbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$880
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040
Blues vs. Red Wingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,035.98
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.62
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.06
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,040
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,299.99
Sharks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,420
Flyers vs. Senatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$780
Red Wings vs. Islandersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$866Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$865.84
Panthers vs. Bruinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$839.97
Sharks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$680
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$820
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-70.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$739.99
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,319.98
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$1,339.95
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,059.94
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$520
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$720
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$620
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,590Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,409.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,550Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$950
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$432
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$402.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked Georgia State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.