TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$702,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$733,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $702,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 882 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes68c57,038$38,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,541.221,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c42,255$18,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,603.356,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c40,000$12,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,199.7620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No32c35,325$11,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,882.3518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c30,931$13,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,987.792,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed No33c30,774$10,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,762.132552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No32c26,747$8,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,128.215054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes67c25,708$17,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,224.5318758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c23,786$16,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,337.771,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9451…c3f9backed Yes30c19,960$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,99730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No31c18,058$5,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,455.8231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No33c17,515$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,774.2810849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Yes37c17,176$6,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,428.286445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes31c16,728$5,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.936650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes68c16,089$10,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,940.4218948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No32c16,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,879.8611162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No32c15,914$5,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,828.7915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No33c15,000$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,05031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes68c12,199$8,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,295.645246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes16c11,999$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.9719729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa555…c3eabacked Yes68c11,781$7,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,983.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Yes70c11,121$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,777955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No32c9,188$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,248.0210236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.54264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes36c7,801$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,808.2315049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No31c7,600$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,275.393745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Yes39c7,576$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9769946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes68c7,353$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x434e…a307backed Yes70c7,060$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes44c7,041$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,123.1128736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d85…0e0abacked Yes69c6,865$4,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,724.081546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No33c6,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,02018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes33c6,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes68c5,999$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,07910737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No63c5,645$3,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,088.612839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No63c5,206$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.974,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes68c4,477$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.2111945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No31c4,354$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.561650%8 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+63%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes28c4,224$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.2714342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed Yes4c4,137$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c3,995$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.792,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Yes67c3,691$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No31c3,654$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.5830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes68c3,412$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.367448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No31c3,402$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.3937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes67c3,256$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.84862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No62c3,105$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.4451542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Yes68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Yes67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No63c2,982$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.2516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Yes68c2,913$1,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,980.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes40c2,751$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.3920239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes56c2,699$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes70c2,561$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.5741437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes69c2,388$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.59763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes69c2,174$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5007844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No31c2,145$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.8979639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ac…ebacbacked Yes69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47cb…c8c1backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.9714254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9446551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No31c1,986$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.327149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes66c1,968$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.73551.4%18 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes67c1,925$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.756357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Yes68c1,896$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-84.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes69c1,866$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.0418740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No36c1,679$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.521,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No46c1,652$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.1169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x02c1…2e70backed Yes40c1,631$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.243050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes36c1,550$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.042050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No32c1,550$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.823672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55534428.8%99 W · 245 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed No34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…b988backed Yes68c1,472$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No34c1,470$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008743.7%38 W · 49 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes67c1,400$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.251,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd2…78bbbacked Yes69c1,327$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes18c1,256$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2267230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4679…6578backed No31c1,200$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes37c1,189$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.8723926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No32c1,083$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.161,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No31c1,034$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.151,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes58c1,025$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.821,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked Yes69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908740.2%35 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed Yes51c985.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes69c970$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.622534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes45c888.89$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes6c811$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6610751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Yes28c800.11$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.03616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe75f…2687backed Yes68c789.82$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.081729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes38c781.75$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9241344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes41c780.12$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.8529044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.