TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7f16…2d56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: College Football, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT4264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$27.68
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$280
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.64
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$225.37
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.8%+$61.87
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+37%+$29.1
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.8%+$394.19
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+52%+$104.09
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100.98
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$56.41
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+28.2%+$116.42
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+25.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$499.99
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+72.4%+$147.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+50.7%+$82.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.