TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Everton FCof Arsenal FC, Everton FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC65c30,075$19,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,442.46,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Arsenal FC35c14,999$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.793540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Arsenal FC34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Arsenal FC36c3,281$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.31,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Everton FC63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Arsenal FC47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Arsenal FC41c1,666$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6856838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Everton FC59c1,618$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.212,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Everton FC63c1,603$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.0121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Everton FC62c1,500$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Everton FC62c1,468$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.034748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Everton FC62c1,200$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4563100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Everton FC64c1,178$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Arsenal FC38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Arsenal FC29c1,033$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6511324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Arsenal FC38c1,003$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3814526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Arsenal FC35c972.69$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.445560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Arsenal FC37c952.22$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.322123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7a6…8117backed Arsenal FC37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Arsenal FC38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b7…430cbacked Arsenal FC31c750$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Arsenal FC37c572.65$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Arsenal FC37c541.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.385026%13 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Everton FC65c528$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.810956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Arsenal FC30c496.67$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1498927%24 W · 65 L-11.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Everton FC63c451$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8715952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x620f…ece4backed Arsenal FC37c426.22$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Arsenal FC35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed Everton FC66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.034264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Everton FC66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0316160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Arsenal FC35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Arsenal FC37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008237.8%31 W · 51 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Arsenal FC37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Everton FC65c266.15$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1516552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Arsenal FC44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Arsenal FC37c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Arsenal FC29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47f…dfb1backed Arsenal FC38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765335.8%19 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+59.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Arsenal FC26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.73348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Everton FC65c174.04$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Arsenal FC37c165.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3719244.3%85 W · 107 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Arsenal FC36c165.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9935328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Arsenal FC36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Arsenal FC36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Arsenal FC37c136.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d89…340cbacked Arsenal FC37c132.62$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Everton FC61c127.56$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…3f0abacked Arsenal FC38c126.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.232951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Arsenal FC36c123.42$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.439929.3%29 W · 70 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fb…7c39backed Everton FC64c121.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.812475%18 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Arsenal FC38c120.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7813149.6%65 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Everton FC63c111.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae44…3a83backed Arsenal FC37c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed Everton FC63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Arsenal FC49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493850%19 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Everton FC66c96.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6825949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Everton FC57c92.62$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5829041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Everton FC65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.315334%18 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f8…17dabacked Everton FC54c86.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Arsenal FC37c76.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.418124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arsenal FC16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d69…beecbacked Arsenal FC36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257936.7%29 W · 50 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Arsenal FC36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4522…ff26backed Arsenal FC36c69.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Arsenal FC41c67.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284546.7%21 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Arsenal FC37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f9…edbfbacked Everton FC69c65.57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.571145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arsenal FC33c64.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Everton FC65c61.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4137958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Arsenal FC38c60.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Everton FC65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131359.4%186 W · 127 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Everton FC65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2127354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Arsenal FC35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Arsenal FC35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Everton FC63c55.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Arsenal FC37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8007…4245backed Arsenal FC38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Everton FC65c49.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2416136.6%59 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Everton FC63c46.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.092,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d66…0e16backed Arsenal FC36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513951.1%71 W · 68 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94fa…1f6bbacked Arsenal FC37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaeb…996dbacked Arsenal FC39c40.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e74…32c3backed Arsenal FC38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Everton FC63c39.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4528359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Everton FC66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8836036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Arsenal FC35c33.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7758445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Arsenal FC36c33.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Arsenal FC48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde57…8666backed Arsenal FC38c31.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…cd07backed Arsenal FC49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…0ea4backed Arsenal FC40c30.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124637%17 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Arsenal FC37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Everton FC67c27.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Everton FC65c27.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5610656.6%60 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b76…bf1dbacked Everton FC67c27.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea9…1a13backed Arsenal FC46c23.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Everton FC65c22.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.951643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3c…6bafbacked Everton FC68c20.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.426100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Everton FC67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.616142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.