TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6794…c10d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$28.42
Heat vs. Knicksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.32
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.2%+$273.55
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$46.31
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$31.8
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30.25
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+96.1%+$44.51
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.8%+$15.88
Spread: Heat (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$14.38
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+36.4%+$13.07
Hawks vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$43.83
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+334.8%+$85.47
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+95.3%+$96.46
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$68.06
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Kuopion PS end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$17.08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+111.1%+$57.58
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Legia Warszawa win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$15.79
Will AZ win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Providence Friarsbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.78
SIUE Cougars vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked SIUE Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$29.37
Winthrop Eagles vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked Winthrop Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$48.98
Temple Owls vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Furman Paladins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$137.93
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+40.3%+$26.35
Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacksbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+88.5%+$11.29
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-78.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick3cpaid+428%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Everton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.24
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+52.5%+$14.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$21.26
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$115.85
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$124.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.13
Wild vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$29.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$8.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+48.7%+$13.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Old Dominion vs. South Floridabacked Old Dominion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+43.7%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$58.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.