Tennis · resolved market
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56ba05820a7f988887779c17c5da1d8cae768f734ee03ecf4f5e177979eee327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kjaerof Kjaer, Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kjaer | 62c | 21,990$13,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,281.11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Jodar | 56c | 17,886$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000.08 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kjaer | 43c | 16,185$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.47 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Jodar | 59c | 14,078$8,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,261.11 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Kjaer | 44c | 12,759$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.07 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Jodar | 58c | 12,138$6,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,993.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jodar | 27c | 10,474$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Jodar | 40c | 10,349$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.02 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jodar | 29c | 8,381$2,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,418.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kjaer | 65c | 7,610$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.31 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jodar | 29c | 7,446$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.76 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Jodar | 57c | 7,017$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.97 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jodar | 57c | 6,830$3,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kjaer | 64c | 5,556$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Kjaer | 69c | 5,479$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.21 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Kjaer | 43c | 5,456$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.93 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Kjaer | 76c | 5,326$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.3 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kjaer | 41c | 5,235$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.12 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…25d9backed Jodar | 33c | 4,795$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kjaer | 42c | 4,531$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.47 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…16f9backed Kjaer | 41c | 3,659$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Jodar | 56c | 2,580$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Jodar | 48c | 2,511$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Jodar | 25c | 2,462$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Kjaer | 62c | 2,423$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.06 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Jodar | 54c | 2,295$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.24 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Kjaer | 45c | 2,240$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.99 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kjaer | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Jodar | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…2193backed Kjaer | 72c | 1,931$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Kjaer | 78c | 1,926$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.77 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kjaer | 43c | 1,872$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.58 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kjaer | 47c | 1,743$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.62 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Jodar | 48c | 1,717$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.07 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kjaer | 42c | 1,605$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.34 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kjaer | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jodar | 34c | 1,458$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.06 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Kjaer | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kjaer | 46c | 1,347$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.93 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Jodar | 57c | 1,296$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Jodar | 28c | 1,251$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Jodar | 61c | 1,250$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.96 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Jodar | 53c | 1,240$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.7 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Jodar | 37c | 1,197$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Jodar | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Jodar | 57c | 966.58$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.95 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Kjaer | 74c | 920.71$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.93 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kjaer | 73c | 908.99$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Jodar | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Jodar | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Jodar | 35c | 886.85$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Jodar | 30c | 879.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Jodar | 39c | 817.38$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kjaer | 42c | 779$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.97 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Jodar | 38c | 750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Kjaer | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Jodar | 21c | 703.06$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.01 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Jodar | 57c | 657$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jodar | 35c | 642.97$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.07 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…4c6dbacked Kjaer | 59c | 630$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Kjaer | 67c | 605.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Jodar | 59c | 563.44$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.43 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Kjaer | 43c | 546$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…5af4backed Jodar | 16c | 540.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kjaer | 44c | 529$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…b500backed Jodar | 58c | 520.12$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Kjaer | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kjaer | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Kjaer | 40c | 500$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.29 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Jodar | 57c | 498$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.7 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Jodar | 10c | 487.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed Jodar | 58c | 461.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Jodar | 19c | 443.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Kjaer | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Kjaer | 43c | 432.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Jodar | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Jodar | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Kjaer | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Kjaer | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Kjaer | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Jodar | 53c | 375.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Jodar | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Kjaer | 62c | 349.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…f3f3backed Jodar | 53c | 340.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jodar | 33c | 332.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…150cbacked Jodar | 38c | 327.68$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Jodar | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kjaer | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kjaer | 42c | 300$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Kjaer | 46c | 299.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.18 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Kjaer | 45c | 299.38$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked Jodar | 38c | 296.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Kjaer | 67c | 276.68$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kjaer | 47c | 270$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Jodar | 48c | 250.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Jodar | 39c | 249.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Kjaer | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kjaer | 67c | 231.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Kjaer | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Kjaer | 46c | 217.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarthis page
- Kjaer vs. Jodar: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Kjaer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.