TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe7f0…fae5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$557
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$49.05
Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.22
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$409.09
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20.46
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$99.17
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+39%+$357.03
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+90.4%+$133.82
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+25.8%+$51.55
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Oh My God vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+85.8%+$38.52
Torino FC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$101
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+50%+$406.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Army Black Knights vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+39.7%+$29.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: kONO.ECF vs FORZE Reload (BO3)backed kONO.ECF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$89.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.