Tennis · resolved market
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe466f029e6417c8e3ac436081b63a5926dd3936355695b9cc417bc58ba820a75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Tien, Kjaer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64aa…1dc7backed Tien | 72c | 16,685$11,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,751.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kjaer | 29c | 14,577$4,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,206.91 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Kjaer | 30c | 11,473$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.87 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kjaer | 35c | 9,916$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.12 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Kjaer | 32c | 9,051$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.27 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Tien | 69c | 8,347$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.42 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Tien | 70c | 5,534$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.02 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8586…8207backed Kjaer | 29c | 4,900$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…2289backed Kjaer | 29c | 4,700$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -81%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tien | 61c | 4,698$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Tien | 71c | 3,227$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tien | 71c | 3,108$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.41 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kjaer | 31c | 3,004$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.09 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…4fdbbacked Kjaer | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tien | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kjaer | 25c | 2,345$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.43 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1551…1ff8backed Tien | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…1d52backed Tien | 71c | 2,200$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Tien | 67c | 2,018$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.32 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…180bbacked Tien | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kjaer | 36c | 1,906$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked Kjaer | 51c | 1,874$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Kjaer | 30c | 1,675$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07b…6dfbbacked Tien | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…bddebacked Tien | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…b267backed Tien | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Tien | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.99 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4f…2a37backed Tien | 71c | 1,400$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kjaer | 29c | 1,366$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.49 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tien | 70c | 1,175$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Kjaer | 13c | 1,064$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kjaer | 35c | 1,061$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.64 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tien | 70c | 1,042$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kjaer | 27c | 1,025$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 365 | 40.8%149 W · 216 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Kjaer | 29c | 777.72$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kjaer | 29c | 724$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.96 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tien | 69c | 676.33$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kjaer | 30c | 648.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.62 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Kjaer | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Tien | 73c | 630$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Tien | 71c | 619.72$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.72 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tien | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9562backed Tien | 71c | 572.73$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Tien | 53c | 550$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Tien | 59c | 524.21$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Tien | 71c | 463.22$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Tien | 74c | 460$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kjaer | 33c | 458.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Tien | 75c | 429$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.99 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x590b…7fd6backed Tien | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kjaer | 37c | 411.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.27 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Tien | 73c | 410.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Tien | 59c | 404.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Kjaer | 26c | 402$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kjaer | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Kjaer | 40c | 392.5$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Tien | 70c | 371.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.37 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…a693backed Kjaer | 3c | 369.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Kjaer | 30c | 353.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Tien | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kjaer | 30c | 330.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kjaer | 18c | 299$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tien | 72c | 288.33$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.88 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Tien | 71c | 277.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Tien | 58c | 262.28$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Kjaer | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…7eb1backed Kjaer | 6c | 256.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Tien | 70c | 235$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Kjaer | 26c | 226.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tien | 70c | 211.43$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed Kjaer | 33c | 206.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Tien | 68c | 199.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Kjaer | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 325 | 48%156 W · 169 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kjaer | 10c | 190.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kjaer | 27c | 176.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Kjaer | 27c | 174.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Tien | 73c | 173.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Tien | 70c | 171.51$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kjaer | 26c | 169.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Tien | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Kjaer | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Tien | 75c | 135.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Tien | 73c | 134.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kjaer | 16c | 134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…297ebacked Kjaer | 13c | 132.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Kjaer | 39c | 128.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6489…71ebbacked Kjaer | 13c | 128.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kjaer | 19c | 116.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Tien | 70c | 112.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Tien | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Tien | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tien | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Kjaer | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Tien | 49c | 92.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kjaer | 18c | 92.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Tien | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Tien | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tien | 73c | 82.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tien | 69c | 69.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tien | 69c | 67.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tien vs KjaerKjaer won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Tien won
- Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Kjaer (+2.5)Kjaer won
- Tien vs. Kjaer: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Tien vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Tien vs. Kjaer: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.