TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tienof Tien, Kjaer
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,401 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x64aa…1dc7backed Tien72c16,685$11,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,751.191172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Kjaer29c14,577$4,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,206.9176546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed72…b8b0backed Kjaer30c11,473$3,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,441.877332.9%24 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Kjaer35c9,916$3,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,517.1280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Kjaer32c9,051$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.275623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tien69c8,347$5,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.4211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Tien70c5,534$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.0211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8586…8207backed Kjaer29c4,900$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c1f…2289backed Kjaer29c4,700$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-81%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tien61c4,698$2,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.868,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Tien71c3,227$2,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.781747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tien71c3,108$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.412,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Kjaer31c3,004$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.0958639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b1…4fdbbacked Kjaer29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Tien60c2,500$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kjaer25c2,345$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1551…1ff8backed Tien71c2,200$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204d…1d52backed Tien71c2,200$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Tien67c2,018$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.3233256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b8…180bbacked Tien71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kjaer36c1,906$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.32,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002d…4a9cbacked Kjaer51c1,874$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.241070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Kjaer30c1,675$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07b…6dfbbacked Tien71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x897d…bddebacked Tien70c1,600$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+80.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa26b…b267backed Tien71c1,600$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tien67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.992,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc4f…2a37backed Tien71c1,400$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.17666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kjaer29c1,366$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4938931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Tien70c1,175$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.51,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Kjaer13c1,064$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.465444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Kjaer35c1,061$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.642,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tien70c1,042$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.687251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Kjaer27c1,025$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7536540.8%149 W · 216 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kjaer29c777.72$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kjaer29c724$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tien69c676.33$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.141,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kjaer30c648.41$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.623644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Kjaer31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Tien73c630$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.114744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Tien71c619.72$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7254138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Tien51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29415447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbbe6…9562backed Tien71c572.73$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Tien53c550$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.36per pick47cpaid-79.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed Tien59c524.21$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2812631%39 W · 87 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…62bdbacked Tien71c463.22$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Tien74c460$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.61457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kjaer33c458.85$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Tien75c429$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9930741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590b…7fd6backed Tien71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Kjaer37c411.45$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.271,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a16…de20backed Tien73c410.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2416856%94 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Tien59c404.65$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.2846649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Kjaer26c402$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.524630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kjaer35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Kjaer40c392.5$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1572050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Tien70c371.24$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3713852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Kjaer3c369.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Kjaer30c353.36$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.019833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Tien50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17519131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Kjaer30c330.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kjaer18c299$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.292,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tien72c288.33$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8815363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb75d…9d01backed Tien71c277.18$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3812154.5%66 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Tien58c262.28$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+108.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7f0…fae5backed Kjaer39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf945…7eb1backed Kjaer6c256.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13439.3%4 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Tien70c235$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.53860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Kjaer26c226.29$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.771136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tien70c211.43$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.431,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f61…9131backed Kjaer33c206.21$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-75.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Tien68c199.88$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9614663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Kjaer26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032548%156 W · 169 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Kjaer10c190.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.021,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kjaer27c176.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2144125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Kjaer27c174.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.152646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Tien73c173.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6718241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Tien70c171.51$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4525355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kjaer26c169.12$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Tien71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7163…3601backed Kjaer44c147$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1810252%53 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Tien75c135.31$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.897664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Tien73c134.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Kjaer16c134$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9528139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859b…297ebacked Kjaer13c132.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Kjaer39c128.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6489…71ebbacked Kjaer13c128.29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+107.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Kjaer19c116.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6322236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Tien70c112.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Tien73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.595865.5%38 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Tien65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Tien68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3234842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Kjaer24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Tien49c92.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.336930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kjaer18c92.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Tien68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Tien71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.513278.1%25 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tien73c82.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.486,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tien69c69.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tien69c67.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9624846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.