TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcf26…3ede

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: College Football, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 51 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$972
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Brisbane International: Magdalena Frech vs Linda Noskovabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$335
ASB Classic: Xinyu Wang vs Renata Zarazuabacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$301.48
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Michael Mmohbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$117
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Adam Waltonbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navonebacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+64.5%+$96.75
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marin Cilic vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$18.08
Brisbane International, Qualification: Arthur Cazaux vs Martin Landalucebacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Alexander Blockxbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+56.3%+$187.31
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+25.5%+$68.82
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Alexander Blockx vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$59.68
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Learner Tien vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$157
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group A: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Rafael Jodarbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Dino Prizmic vs Justin Engelbacked Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$151
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Alexander Blockx vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+80.1%+$265.07
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+72.2%+$202.21
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Algeria vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$209.81
Will Tanzania win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$63.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$22.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.9%+$15.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$186
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.