TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$711,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$711,981

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $711,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over46c555,714$254,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,378.742450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under54c242,001$130,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,680.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Under54c75,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Under55c74,713$41,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,092.122839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under59c65,762$39,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,099.984566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c24,157$14,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,739.22,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c14,861$8,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,024.893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over41c9,556$3,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,602.4911848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over16c8,070$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,778.83324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under54c8,000$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,349.952227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under54c7,219$3,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,898.476347.6%30 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c5,584$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.5852748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over43c3,803$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,167.5620544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Under56c3,701$2,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,070.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under55c3,600$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9803650%18 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Under57c3,567$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0332240.9%9 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed Under76c2,621$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick70cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x724f…79ddbacked Under56c2,556$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Under55c2,058$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.93141.9%13 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over44c2,036$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.991747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0803948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c1,944$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.769652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03f…9a48backed Under4c1,838$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1450%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under60c1,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc95…c60fbacked Under55c1,829$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under2c1,798$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under55c1,600$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7722947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c1,482$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.1596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c1,317$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.278251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over22c1,291$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.872733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed7…eb18backed Under1c1,189$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.89728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over38c1,073$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under55c988.87$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.9759240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over43c895.67$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43210152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over35c792.08$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Under55c770$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b86…d8dcbacked Over14c738.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+365.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Over38c583.11$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.111450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1813137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x498e…f5c5backed Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over46c521.74$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.747954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Over44c487.91$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.233444.1%15 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over39c460.86$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6311546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under56c443.98$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.639958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under55c435$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.256949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21625556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21628556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21618459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c396.68$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4391043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under64c375$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over44c333$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f89…b87ebacked Over43c325.42$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.491752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…3edebacked Under65c313.85$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16812049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16812540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-77.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16213152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16216851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under56c260.29$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.763167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under56c258.89$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.464854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under54c250$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7fd…6c23backed Under77c249.74$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.191631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.615847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.812048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Over33c237.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.277750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c72…9567backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+53.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.14136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb815…342fbacked Under56c212.16$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.383759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Under58c201.72$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over30c200.86$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1811856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Under72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.993537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over21c199.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.611550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under77c186.75$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.188854.5%48 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Over43c185$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.451866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.214155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.211655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.228458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4929…99d2backed Over23c179.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.571050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over40c175$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11fa…ebf3backed Over44c174$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.11729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over44c170.32$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.982254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd2…d794backed Over43c164.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.89771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over25c160$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12010736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over34c156.16$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.457231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8112453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under54c150$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.