TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Pisa SC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,171

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa03f…9a48backed Under0c85,260$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c18,413$8,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,919.812,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ad…69ccbacked Under0c10,249$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over25c5,200$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.993324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Over54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over73c3,207$2,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.976100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb1…984ebacked Over38c1,900$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1721172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick43cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under50c1,704$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522035%7 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c1,670$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83534643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed7…eb18backed Under2c1,624$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7afb…31d7backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e2…27b3backed Over70c1,363$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…821fbacked Over70c1,341$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+52.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under29c1,303$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdf…0726backed Over66c1,295$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over73c1,126$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over30c950$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6655556.4%31 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Over42c833.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.452568%17 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under60c833.42$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c831.28$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.91,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23212657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under31c725.01$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7514142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under7c699.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467412.2%9 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c546.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.9613137.4%49 W · 82 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under29c444$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.769958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Over24c423.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.421450%7 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under29c422$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3837250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under35c412.44$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Under51c394.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012556%14 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b86…d8dcbacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+365.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over54c371.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.248065%52 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3710736.4%39 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under38c302.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.12934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over38c299.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9915450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0146…5ddebacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.782944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over69c239.99$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.412048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d6…8360backed Over37c232.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over70c218.07$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over28c204$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.885046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Under29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over53c199.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.985540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x895c…ead8backed Over70c197.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under46c158.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6724849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…3054backed Over71c144.3$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8613366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4929…99d2backed Over47c138.41$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.931050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c134.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1334553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under16c127.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9711546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over46c126.09$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0917958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over69c124.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.749456.4%53 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c122.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.223447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over41c121.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5515648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over42c121.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4313142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over63c111.11$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1111268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over67c110$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Under49c106.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under49c106.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4831051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under18c102.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7346742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Under31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bb…2b47backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Over34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c94.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3211856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1163…3642backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f50…d342backed Under60c84.37$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.522326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over71c81$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6614452.1%75 W · 69 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over25c79.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9915623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked Over70c79.93$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.984163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over62c74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.122875%21 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under38c70$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.36050%30 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over71c62.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1136852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over71c61.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.546972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Over49c60.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.936850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under44c57.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6815045.3%68 W · 82 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Under72c55.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.95540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a95…1d39backed Over22c54.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.18580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+109.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94c6…87eabacked Under31c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under27c49.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.328931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over52c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over70c41.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.591650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over70c41.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over70c41.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over54c40.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.573542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1d…95debacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c0…dfd2backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Over71c39.37$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2217538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.