TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0742…39a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST4148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$99.04
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.45
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$82
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+328.7%+$164.07
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$89
Bucks vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+104.1%+$51
Spread: Warriors (-15.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$154
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+222.6%+$138
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$106.34
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$73.34
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST2055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide International: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbertbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$93.99
Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+94.2%+$97
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Marcos Giron vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+99.6%+$82.37
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Andrey Rublevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+102%+$101
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$74.7
ASB Classic: Alexandra Eala vs Xinyu Wangbacked Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$78.52
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+61.3%+$49.06
Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.36
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Brisbane International: Raphael Collignon vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+203%+$134
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+142%+$47.36
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$128
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.71
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navonebacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$69.98
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandre Muller vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$126
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$103.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+87.1%+$86.4
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+112.8%+$70.37
LoL: DN Freecs vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$47.91
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$244.19
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: Gen.G vs DRX (BO3)backed DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$48
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$69.07
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+109.2%+$131.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+121.7%+$77.98
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$170
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+65.2%+$45.55
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$25.97
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3)backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$51.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team (BO3)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$155.18
Counter-Strike: paiN vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$59.37
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.93
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$124.67
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)backed Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+205.3%+$198.7
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+354.5%+$156
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$14.05
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$62.23
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+52.7%+$69
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$60.55
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+166.7%+$125
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+300%+$150.03
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.71
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+43.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$96
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$48.82
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+146.9%+$119
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$139.99
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+44.8%+$56.24
Nigeria vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+233.3%+$139.99
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$158.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Melbourne City FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.4%+$127.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$58.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.