CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde90fece599a21935a13b6a389f15c5b8fad06cba6232236c622be39a123e5c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Liquid, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $242,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6be6…2006backed NIP | 75c | 18,671$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,671.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Liquid | 35c | 15,550$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,393.11 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 31c | 13,391$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 58c | 10,874$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,617.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed NIP | 45c | 5,659$2,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.67 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Liquid | 53c | 4,169$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 30c | 3,583$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked NIP | 59c | 3,223$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.26 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Liquid | 32c | 2,993$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.66 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked NIP | 48c | 2,896$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.44 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 52c | 2,263$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.43 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Liquid | 42c | 2,231$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.5 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed NIP | 38c | 2,000$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.93 | 227 | 61.7%140 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Liquid | 54c | 1,957$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.21 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked NIP | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.99 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NIP | 65c | 1,854$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.6 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed NIP | 54c | 1,843$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.52 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed Liquid | 16c | 1,800$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liquid | 39c | 1,542$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.97 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked NIP | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 71c | 1,472$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.41 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Liquid | 51c | 1,466$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.15 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 58c | 1,441$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.6 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Liquid | 54c | 1,417$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.36 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 49c | 1,264$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.49 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked NIP | 52c | 1,193$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.09 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 23c | 1,150$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Liquid | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Liquid | 19c | 909.06$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed NIP | 47c | 852.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.75 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed NIP | 47c | 798$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed NIP | 45c | 781.88$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.67 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Liquid | 49c | 727.05$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.73 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Liquid | 55c | 703.45$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.9 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee33…9a55backed NIP | 63c | 666.95$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Liquid | 42c | 629.11$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.95 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Liquid | 55c | 608.64$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Liquid | 54c | 600$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.77 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked Liquid | 53c | 590.19$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…46d6backed Liquid | 54c | 547.19$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…3863backed Liquid | 21c | 533.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1da…dffbbacked NIP | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Liquid | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Liquid | 54c | 499.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked Liquid | 20c | 472.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.44 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked NIP | 54c | 467.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Liquid | 51c | 454.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed NIP | 63c | 400.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked NIP | 36c | 400$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.28 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked NIP | 46c | 370.64$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.7 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked NIP | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 45c | 295.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.56 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed NIP | 75c | 264.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed NIP | 45c | 257.25$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.49 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…acbfbacked Liquid | 50c | 226.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Liquid | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 38c | 215.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked NIP | 48c | 207.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Liquid | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Liquid | 8c | 203.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed NIP | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed NIP | 54c | 196.26$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed NIP | 48c | 190.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked NIP | 50c | 188.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…94e9backed NIP | 79c | 186.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Liquid | 32c | 182.3$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Liquid | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed NIP | 78c | 166.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Liquid | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed Liquid | 61c | 159.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked NIP | 50c | 153$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Liquid | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Liquid | 34c | 147.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed NIP | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked NIP | 46c | 136.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x734a…e083backed NIP | 79c | 133.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…b2fcbacked NIP | 79c | 125.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Liquid | 45c | 120.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked NIP | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed NIP | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed NIP | 49c | 112.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Liquid | 12c | 110.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Liquid | 59c | 106.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed NIP | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 419 | 60.9%255 W · 164 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Liquid | 34c | 101.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Liquid | 26c | 101.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed NIP | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked NIP | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Liquid | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Liquid | 52c | 95.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Liquid | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked NIP | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Liquid | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…40e9backed NIP | 73c | 86.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949b…41d9backed Liquid | 53c | 83.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Liquid | 34c | 82.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5)Liquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.