CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e507f30c44759806017d41da42e0b2d7fbaab21ded49d7ebcd0e65a3739a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x147b…8551backed NIP | 0c | 24,570$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 43c | 23,689$10,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,267.96 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liquid | 47c | 13,490$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,202.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid | 59c | 8,126$4,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,371.55 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Liquid | 46c | 6,017$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 46c | 6,000$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked NIP | 23c | 5,496$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.24 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 58c | 5,258$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid | 56c | 5,144$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.65 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked NIP | 25c | 4,307$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.85 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked NIP | 50c | 3,876$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.6 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Liquid | 58c | 3,396$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.44 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NIP | 44c | 3,053$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.62 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked NIP | 41c | 2,900$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Liquid | 52c | 2,836$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.9 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed NIP | 36c | 2,719$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked NIP | 46c | 1,945$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.46 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…6adfbacked Liquid | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.55 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Liquid | 55c | 1,752$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.47 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Liquid | 70c | 1,742$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.22 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 34c | 1,634$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…ac75backed Liquid | 64c | 1,568$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Liquid | 46c | 1,322$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.75 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Liquid | 75c | 1,139$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d69…7e98backed NIP | 15c | 1,100$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 58 | 12.1%7 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed NIP | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…f3b0backed Liquid | 65c | 985.48$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.47 | 136 | 75%102 W · 34 L | +22.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4255backed Liquid | 53c | 936.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed NIP | 38c | 929.61$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.4 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked NIP | 25c | 806.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.39 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Liquid | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Liquid | 58c | 684.1$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.2 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed NIP | 59c | 666$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.94 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked NIP | 9c | 621.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944f…d441backed Liquid | 47c | 615.41$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed NIP | 55c | 609.43$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.14 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed NIP | 6c | 605.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed NIP | 49c | 599.35$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked NIP | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NIP | 33c | 550.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Liquid | 62c | 485.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked Liquid | 78c | 442.56$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP | 58c | 439.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf88…3ed6backed NIP | 23c | 435.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked NIP | 47c | 423.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed NIP | 48c | 417.71$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Liquid | 57c | 414.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed NIP | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…b620backed Liquid | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed NIP | 60c | 374.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 547 | 32.2%176 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed NIP | 14c | 345.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed NIP | 50c | 338.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Liquid | 44c | 338.66$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.64 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 37c | 332.7$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked NIP | 36c | 324$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Liquid | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9231…a423backed NIP | 57c | 297.74$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbd…16d6backed NIP | 48c | 290.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Liquid | 64c | 290$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…39a7backed Liquid | 53c | 265.25$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…7a4bbacked NIP | 33c | 265.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked NIP | 58c | 256.24$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.91 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 41c | 251.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553f…99b9backed Liquid | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Liquid | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed NIP | 42c | 229.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed NIP | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…52fabacked NIP | 41c | 221.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.84 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed Liquid | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked NIP | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 11.9%12 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Liquid | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 204 | 33.8%69 W · 135 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Liquid | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Liquid | 61c | 179.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Liquid | 78c | 178.62$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed NIP | 44c | 177.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed NIP | 35c | 165.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liquid | 68c | 161.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 52c | 159$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NIP | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Liquid | 63c | 155$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed NIP | 56c | 151.47$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Liquid | 52c | 145.45$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Liquid | 47c | 139.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Liquid | 44c | 132.77$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Liquid | 53c | 132.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked NIP | 25c | 131.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…2fd4backed Liquid | 68c | 129$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked NIP | 55c | 122.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Liquid | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed NIP | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…49a9backed NIP | 13c | 114.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed NIP | 52c | 105.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…8efdbacked Liquid | 42c | 104.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Liquid | 48c | 102.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed NIP | 34c | 100.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed NIP | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 77 | 6.5%5 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked NIP | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Liquid | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Liquid | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Liquid | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)Liquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5)Liquid won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.