TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e80…f17a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,032
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: World Politics, grading 78 out of 100 (+0.25 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 78 out of 100; worst Weather at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 160 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Radford Highlanders vs. Winthrop Eaglesbacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Xavier Musketeers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.34
Washington State Cougars vs. San Francisco Donsbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.62
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Piratesbacked East Carolina Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboysbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
BYU Cougars vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Long Beach State Beach vs. CSUN Matadorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Portland Pilots vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Loyola Marymount Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Robert Morris Colonials vs. Northern Kentucky Norsebacked Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Missouri State Bears vs. Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 165.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.12
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Purdue Boilermakers vs. USC Trojansbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Kansas City Roos vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Morgan State Bears vs. Delaware State Hornetsbacked Delaware State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Charleston Cougars vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.67
Lindenwood Lions vs. UT Martin Skyhawks: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+609.2%+$85.9
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Bravesbacked Alcorn State Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Michigan Wolverines vs. Oregon Ducks: O/U 155.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 160 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Women's: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Set 1 Winner: Baez vs Darderibacked Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Australian Open Men's: Hugo Gaston vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+687.9%+$111.64
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Australian Open Men's: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Geabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.33
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-2.5) vs Fearnley (+2.5)backed Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Set Handicap: Majchrzak (-1.5) vs Fearnley (+1.5)backed Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Australian Open Men's: Brandon Nakashima vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Australian Open Men's: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)backed Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Australian Open Men's: Learner Tien vs Marcos Gironbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+733.3%+$88
Muchova vs. Cristian: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.53
Parks vs. Eala: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Australian Open Women's: Ann Li vs Camila Osoriobacked Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$58.5
Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Agut (+1.5)backed Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Kjaer vs. Opelka: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Australian Open Men's: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+990.9%+$545
Li vs. Osorio: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Marcinko vs. Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Halys vs. Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Australian Open Women's: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Zhuoxuan Baibacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$41.67
Set Handicap: Danilovic (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)backed Danilovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.81
Set 1 Winner: Hanfmann vs Svajdabacked Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Fucsovicsbacked Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Jacquemot (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10111.9%12 W · 89 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$85
FaZe roster change Before GTA VI?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+224.8%+$506.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)backed Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)backed Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+400%+$75.09
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs ARCRED - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Series FURIA Rounds Handicap (-14.5) vs 9INE (+14.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group Cbacked MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs MASONIC (BO3)backed MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.71
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Four Magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Crashers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+460%+$82.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+954.2%+$650.45
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT9855.1%54 W · 44 L+24.9wins+0.25per pick30cpaid+76.8%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
Middle East — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$378
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$274
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$337
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+276.4%+$450.49
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+174%+$381
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+256%+$1,582
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$362
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$183
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+154.9%+$244.36
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$264
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+173.2%+$126.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$469
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$216
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$725
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST959.5%9 W · 86 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: DRX vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$64
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55.6
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO1)backed Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$38
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO1)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60.36
LoL: Los Ratones vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.59
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41.9
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$78.22
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$63
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+733.3%+$176
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+566.7%+$59.08
LoL: ZennIT vs Once Upon A Team (BO1)backed Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST879.2%8 W · 79 L+0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Series: MOUZ Kill Handicap (-9.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$86
Series: MOUZ Kill Handicap (-8.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Series: Most kills?backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Series: Aurora Kill Handicap (-18.5) vs 1win (+18.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Series: Aurora Kill Handicap (-14.5) vs 1win (+14.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Series: Aurora Kill Handicap (-13.5) vs 1win (+13.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Series: Aurora Kill Handicap (-15.5) vs 1win (+15.5)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Series: Most kills?backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Series: Most kills?backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+1,150%+$184
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.95
Series: Most kills?backed PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$86
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Execration (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS (BO3)backed 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Dota 2: 1win vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Dota 2: Ivory vs REKONIX (BO3)backed REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pasika UA (BO3)backed Pasika UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Dota 2: The Outcast vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Outcast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Winter Bear (BO3)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24.91
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST8511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.95
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Spread: Grizzlies (-16.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+566.7%+$77.9
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tyler Herro: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Suns vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Kings (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$182
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+614.3%+$172
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60.77
Celtics vs. Heat: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+400%+$57.93
Suns vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1H Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+609.2%+$85.9
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Cavaliers vs. 76ers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT4914.3%7 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 30 and 40 million views on day 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$23.5
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$87.38
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get less than 30 million views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+239.7%+$318.77
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+296%+$299
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+227.9%+$139
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$23.08
Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$55.94
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.32
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the Bears win the NFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Caleb Williams: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.27
Kyren Williams: Anytime Touchdownbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Sam Darnold: Rushing Yards O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
49ers vs. Seahawks: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+525%+$84
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Texans vs. Steelers: 1H O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
QBgami in Week 1 of NFL Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick32cpaid+56.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
AI — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.2
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+197.6%+$177.55
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$66.77
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$188.28
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+177%+$191.7
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.72
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+191.1%+$262.6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+281.7%+$369
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$45.92
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2777.8%21 W · 6 L+13.2wins+0.49per pick29cpaid+167.8%equal weight78+0.25 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$29.18
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$1,136
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+197.1%+$464.4
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+254%+$430.5
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+247.8%+$570
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+277.4%+$588
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$562
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$560
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+267%+$436.5
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$287.87
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$54.78
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+184.9%+$64.9
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$66
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$128
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+400%+$160
Prince Andrew released by February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$108.16
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$73
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2714.8%4 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+68%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.26
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+566.7%+$85
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Joburg Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+2,122.2%+$407.15
BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Rangpur Riders (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Durbar Rajshahi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$14
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$26.05
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)backed Melbourne Renegades · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$29.16
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs MI Cape Town (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$45.89
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.18
ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Sharjah Warriorz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48.35
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+879.4%+$167.4
ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Sharjah Warriorz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.75
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$77
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed Sharjah Warriorz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$98
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$72.8
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?backed MI Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$113
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs MI Emirates (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Sydney Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+47.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Priyanka Grandhi get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$35.37
Will "The Bride!" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Will Amber Morrison and Jordan Faeth marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Ashley Carpenter and Alex Henderson marry by the end of Love is Blind: Season 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will Wuthering Heights be the highest grossing movie this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+194.1%+$61.35
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (February 10)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33.38
Will between 5 and 8 participants make a final pair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+293%+$671
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$218.67
Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+209.3%+$203
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$23.47
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+227.9%+$69.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$71.93
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$169
Will Ukraine re-enter Novomykolaivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+326.8%+$536
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$120
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+210.6%+$339
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$332.67
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+194.1%+$43.69
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58.63
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+300.8%+$102.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3)backed Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.69
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$128.59
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$32
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Gen.G Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$75.79
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$148.2
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Paper Rex (BO1)backed Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$118
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$288
Will Bill Clinton say "Massage" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+294.5%+$298.6
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+209%+$176.48
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$83.77
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$29.62
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$63.9
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+294%+$97.13
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$114
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+188.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.61
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+2,122.2%+$573
O/U 55.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$147.37
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-9.5)backed Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.99
Spread: Louisville (-9.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+566.7%+$170
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+39.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$192
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+291.1%+$1,041.99
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$47.47
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$53.07
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick26cpaid+138.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$201.99
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30.91
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+355.6%+$156.1
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$103.67
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+382.3%+$237.8
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$231
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+194.1%+$33
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+161%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+969.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+2,039.5%+$748.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+445.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$48
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. SKA St. Petersburgbacked SKA St. Petersburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+990.9%+$545
All 2 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Olimpia Milano vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$227
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.