NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba04a8847126e2c4d55069f5677b4172a266150817a11f631251d663f960cd37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 23,591$11,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,219.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 51c | 16,825$8,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,580.52 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 53c | 8,233$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,363.46 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Over | 51c | 7,676$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,914.78 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 3,287$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.38 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 51c | 1,441$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,411$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.19 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.53 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 50c | 784$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 627.03$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.06 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 9c | 599.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 508.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 428.22$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdd…23d8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 13c | 266.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Over | 16c | 199.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…e42fbacked Over | 15c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 121.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Under | 50c | 114.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 45 | 80%36 W · 9 L | +12.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eca…6882backed Under | 51c | 102.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.71 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 48c | 94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 50c | 81.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 72.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 66.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 50c | 53.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 45.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…af02backed Over | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 46c | 26.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Under | 53c | 24.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 52c | 23.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…709abacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2879…8a1abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 229.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Kings won
- Knicks vs. KingsKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Knicks vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Kings won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.