NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e80c1ea4fec329aab348773bb8c778fbc7c02c2799f18ce0ef4aa843d27ac54

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $134,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,815 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	44c	35,083$15,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,524.4	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	55c	32,515$17,842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,673.74	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	56c	23,816$13,258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,558.33	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over	45c	6,461$2,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.73	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	45c	5,521$2,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,501.06	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	55c	4,385$2,412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,973.44	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	56c	3,679$2,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,618.57	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf0…01b5backed Under	52c	3,113$1,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,494.24	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc439…c5adbacked Over	48c	3,002$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.96	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f1…18febacked Under	52c	2,888$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,386.24	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf44f…d6d7backed Over	48c	2,808$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.84	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	49cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aae…1547backed Under	52c	2,801$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,344.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde83…82f8backed Under	52c	2,606$1,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.88	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+55.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50b3…96c8backed Over	48c	2,588$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.24	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9c…5609backed Over	48c	2,579$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,237.92	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1285…92c1backed Under	52c	2,505$1,312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,193.08	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1746…4a26backed Over	48c	2,432$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe696…03f1backed Over	48c	2,423$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,163.04	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over	44c	2,200$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967.99	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	56c	2,161$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.94	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7110…0372backed Over	48c	2,147$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c85…f893backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.32per pick	48cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf95…eb74backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0394…20e9backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a61…92f4backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42e9…80a8backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8caf…13d0backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fb…2002backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ec…55ebbacked Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fdf…2b11backed Under	51c	2,100$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,029	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x845b…9041backed Over	49c	2,100$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fc…c91dbacked Over	48c	2,004$962 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.92	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	45c	1,994$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.55	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a6c…08c3backed Under	52c	1,836$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$881.28	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	56c	1,774$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.62	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	55c	1,774$976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.36	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91af…9930backed Over	48c	1,678$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7539…54f0backed Under	52c	1,632$849 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.36	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	50cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	45c	1,589$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.25	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bc9…6523backed Under	52c	1,522$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.56	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over	44c	1,500$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	166	33.7%56 W · 110 L	-11.6wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe416…0b86backed Under	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ac…5e29backed Under	52c	1,453$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf616…575fbacked Over	48c	1,452$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.96	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23f9…1bbabacked Under	52c	1,423$740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$683.04	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe514…3118backed Under	52c	1,357$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.36	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ec…4ddabacked Under	52c	1,355$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.4	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3239…434ebacked Under	52c	1,323$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…240fbacked Over	48c	1,323$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$635.04	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	50cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	45c	1,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	45c	1,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd58…28b7backed Over	48c	1,123$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x894d…7a18backed Over	48c	1,123$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.04	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd006…6449backed Over	48c	1,053$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.44	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1af…ec42backed Over	48c	1,023$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7e…a24abacked Over	48c	1,023$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12a…9da0backed Under	52c	923$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$443.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66c4…2852backed Under	55c	900$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	113	58.4%66 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460f…0a05backed Over	44c	864$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4312…3483backed Under	52c	823$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.04	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under	56c	800$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Under	56c	798.68$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348.79	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5750…a2dbbacked Under	52c	787$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.76	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	6c	709.11$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	45c	583$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.35	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Under	54c	507.94$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.65	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over	45c	468.53$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.84	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…d0f1backed Over	44c	372.23$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.55	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Under	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	45c	320$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…ab94backed Under	56c	304$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.76	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…af20backed Under	56c	300$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	47c	272$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.84	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c98…aa95backed Under	56c	260$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	45c	224.34$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.95	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	283	48.8%138 W · 145 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	52c	217.31$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.55	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	45c	210$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over	44c	181.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.9	82	34.1%28 W · 54 L	-8.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	45c	168$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	45c	160$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	14c	141.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under	55c	139.47$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.76	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	45c	132$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	45c	132$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	41c	106.92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	47c	105.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.87	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	315	51.1%161 W · 154 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	45c	88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event