TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf93f…f94b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
827
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT25019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 250 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19,556Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+590.2%+$115,428.68
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,630Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+232.8%+$6,121.48
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$5,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,394.16
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,887.5
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$680
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,354.67
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,400
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+932.5%+$9,325.36
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$6,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,465
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$4,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,356.75
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,800
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.67
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305
Showing 25 of 250 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT16633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 166 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,768.2
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,709.99
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.86
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$810Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$810
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,248.13
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.86
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.94
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,785Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+131.6%+$7,615
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.89
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.98
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,200
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,219.97
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$902.95
Showing 25 of 166 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 144 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+129%+$1,690
Spread: NYG (-3.5)backed MIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$458.22
Spread: LV (-1.5)backed LV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,000
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,252Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+299.6%+$6,747.65
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.1
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,860
Panthers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,380
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,444.2
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$1,180
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$5,000
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$2,115
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,249.98
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$9,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$9,429.99
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,266Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+51.5%+$652.12
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$1,500
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18,263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.9%+$19,151.62
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,006Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+80.2%+$7,225.5
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 144 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,808.26
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.54
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,647.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,530
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.84
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$875Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$875
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,259.99
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,897.69
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,185
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,520
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.3
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,618
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,630Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,629.5
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,392
Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.2
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,305
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$605.22
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$486
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$768Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$768
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT8337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,914
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.98
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$2,520
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,689.01
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,909.32
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,244.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,049.99
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,339.54
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$710
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,103.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Simona Waltert vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$1,439
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$649.75
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.48
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.5
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$168
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,950
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$3,150
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$755Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$755.48
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$365
Maple Leafs vs. Oilersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$720
Maple Leafs vs. Utahbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$855
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$1,080
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,782Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,782
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$492
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$273.78
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$746.11
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$155
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$494
Ducks vs. Starsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+156.4%+$610
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+96.1%+$490
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.3
Will the Oilers beat the Panthers 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,650
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,330.19
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT+114.8%+$344.43
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+32%+$96.1
All 24 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,844Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+133%+$3,782.5
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$1,920
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$540
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Buffalo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$920
Texas A&M vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$360
California vs. Louisvillebacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+809.1%+$890
LSU vs. Alabamabacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$220
Stanford vs. North Carolinabacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$311.08
Iowa State vs. TCUbacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+257.1%+$863.99
Colorado vs. West Virginiabacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$396
Missouri State vs. Libertybacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+257.1%+$864
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$554
James Madison vs. Marshallbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$199.98
Southern Miss vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$653.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$939.4
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$5,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,175.99
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+347.8%+$4,660.06
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$953
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Union · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$485.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+146.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$2,720
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+236.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USC Trojans vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$590Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+236.9%+$1,397.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$775Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+187.1%+$1,449.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+102.9%+$102.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.