TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,897

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe954…1ef1backed Under46c25,815$11,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,875.024245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over54c6,811$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,160.6319044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Over52c4,388$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,103.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Under48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8403658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd239…4ac2backed Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8401100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Under2c3,959$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.432846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under46c3,037$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.8412951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under5c2,642$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.741717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Over51c2,091$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.682147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over47c2,028$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.1922841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Over54c2,015$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9204942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.995147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,794$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.61,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over54c1,597$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.7173438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over56c1,545$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3062…4bc7backed Over53c1,486$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over54c1,354$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.848946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c1,242$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.9671443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under46c895.69$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9714652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under6c870.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.791573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c694.77$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.6670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over45c687.11$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.911844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c631.23$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.5172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under53c601.45$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c600.44$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.4499340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c572.55$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over54c532.41$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.911735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under12c483$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c449.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.463,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c401.87$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.531,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under52c340.95$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3414062.1%87 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under47c319$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9335550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under50c275.99$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13852923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under48c264.14$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.799742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c254.26$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.281,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c236$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0855750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c235.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under7c213$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.244953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c207.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over68c170.9$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under48c153$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.444831.3%15 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c147$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under27c121.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2812848.4%62 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c120.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6620449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under39c120$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.212839.8%51 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Over46c113.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73fb…c7afbacked Over54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over76c110$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over54c109.9$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5526450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under53c100.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.297460.8%45 W · 29 L+12.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+38.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over52c99.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.055050%25 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under48c98.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8333346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under15c98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8346156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under53c93.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.759944.4%44 W · 55 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under53c91.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.987339.7%29 W · 44 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over47c84.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.032755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over52c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.87634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d56…1c7dbacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.434323.3%10 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over72c74.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.016653%35 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over53c66.55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2816744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under53c63.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8310042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over48c60.45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.691942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under54c56.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c55.2$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7129460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over69c52.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1720554.6%112 W · 93 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Over73c46.73$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34250%21 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under51c45.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over55c41.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over49c32.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7717740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.65549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over72c29.42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.291,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under47c29.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.753246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb541…8cf1backed Over49c26.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.786558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over47c23.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4819056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under51c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over75c19.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8419641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Over73c17.64$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.761361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over69c17.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4731158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.