Mls · resolved market
Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f172830a0d88102e7ad18c7c0e7689463b717627a03d67ddf6b5b44092cc4e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 2,327$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.7 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 55c | 1,290$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.4 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 1,176$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.61 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 54c | 1,174$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.72 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 797.26$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…4bc7backed Over | 54c | 734.62$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 606.6$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.74 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 55c | 413.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 398.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.07 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…9f69backed Over | 58c | 345$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 45c | 330.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.78 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 327.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 57c | 307$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 271.25$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 56c | 233$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 227$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 202$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Over | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…b07abacked Over | 53c | 188.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 71c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Over | 57c | 85.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 54c | 65.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 52.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 25.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 19.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…8a08backed Over | 55c | 18.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 1.5this page
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Inter Miami CF O/U 2.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Philadelphia Union O/U 1.5Over won
- Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF: Philadelphia Union O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.