TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ff2…5b93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT6341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+229.5%+$209.64
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+512.2%+$501.98
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$228
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$219
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$45.75
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$61.1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$57.6
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.39
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$27.27
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chesslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vincent Keymer Win the Sinquefield Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov Win EWC 2026 Chess?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.47
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Yi Wei win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will Andrey Esipenko win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
Will Rameshbabu Vaishali win on 2026-04-04 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Women?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+358.5%+$44.41
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+134.4%+$172
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.