Champions League · resolved market
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92e6f8bebbc9b182668b1d1b838e1605ffc708c9d38158a7144c3f3b4b68766e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $591,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f28…266ebacked Over | 64c | 277,938$177,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,800.19 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 35c | 135,928$47,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,574.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 59c | 77,644$46,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,588.12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 39,144$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,100.13 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 36c | 26,345$9,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,484.27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Under | 35c | 21,603$7,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,567.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…f0c4backed Under | 35c | 19,700$6,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,895 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Over | 64c | 16,046$10,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,776.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 57c | 12,467$7,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,360.6 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over | 58c | 9,970$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.22 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Under | 41c | 9,550$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 8,416$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.08 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Under | 38c | 8,000$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 39c | 7,283$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.26 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Under | 11c | 6,977$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 41c | 6,917$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 6,908$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.56 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed Under | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked Under | 41c | 5,927$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Under | 42c | 5,252$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.89 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…3aebbacked Under | 37c | 5,165$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…6ac7backed Under | 38c | 5,100$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 41c | 4,608$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.89 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under | 36c | 4,536$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.95 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 64c | 4,260$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.58 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 4,102$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.67 | 614 | 47.2%290 W · 324 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 27c | 4,057$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.11 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 39c | 4,056$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 39c | 3,854$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd586…7c9bbacked Under | 41c | 3,814$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Under | 12c | 3,573$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 3,454$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 39c | 3,424$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 37c | 3,264$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.8 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 37c | 3,261$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.7 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Under | 22c | 2,584$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 36c | 2,540$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.35 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 15c | 2,464$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.25 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Under | 39c | 2,409$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 2,280$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Under | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Under | 16c | 1,933$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Under | 29c | 1,872$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…9971backed Under | 38c | 1,756$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…ce7fbacked Under | 39c | 1,709$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 41c | 1,695$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.87 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 1,648$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.49 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…68ecbacked Under | 35c | 1,628$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 13c | 1,601$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 1,597$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 40c | 1,597$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 1,597$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.8 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed Under | 39c | 1,474$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 25c | 1,359$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.97 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 23c | 1,353$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 37c | 1,347$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.42 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Under | 18c | 1,306$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Under | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Under | 40c | 1,265$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1089…830ebacked Under | 39c | 1,229$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 37c | 1,170$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 1,160$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.58 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +58%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 41c | 1,153$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 1,146$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Under | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 38c | 1,088$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.02 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 36c | 1,068$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.6 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Under | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a57ebacked Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Under | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe556…4659backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 37c | 986.56$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.21 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 37c | 986.56$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.21 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 37c | 978.64$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 994 | 35%348 W · 646 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Under | 37c | 910.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.77 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 37c | 835.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.21 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 38c | 828.51$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Under | 39c | 815.18$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.92 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 39c | 800$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Over | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…8c0abacked Under | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 36c | 773.61$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 64c | 764.38$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.18 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Under | 38c | 760.11$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 35c | 749.8$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 38c | 714.6$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.98 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Under | 39c | 660.79$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…1c29backed Under | 37c | 619.43$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 41c | 607.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 41c | 607.7$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 61c | 599.97$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf59…36f3backed Under | 37c | 557.11$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d56…046fbacked Under | 36c | 546.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 41c | 535.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.49 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.