TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc1fa…8c66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$4,440
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+102%+$2,040.82
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,049.53
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$104.8
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,538
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$768.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$272
Burnley FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,134
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.3%+$873.17
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$1,383
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$1,442.18
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,081.63
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$531.65
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$5,320.75
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.4
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$256.06
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$538.13
Will CD Leganés win on 2026-05-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,364.31
Athletic Club vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Will Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Real Betis Balompié vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,882.35
RCD Mallorca vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,202
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,484Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,202.85
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,308
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
AS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$439.91
US Cremonese vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,982.68
SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,368Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,338.67
SS Lazio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,394.56
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$460
Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$420
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$900
NAC Breda vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,632Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+99.9%+$1,629.57
SC Heerenveen vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+99.7%+$558.39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+84.1%+$831.94
Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$670
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Juárez vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.