Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf719d38175146ff707719555be10899b2991d179959c955f65e5c39cacac43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 6,906$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 49c | 3,921$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.38 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 3,713$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.7 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 66c | 3,663$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…6482backed Under | 50c | 3,380$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 50c | 3,337$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 46c | 3,332$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 50c | 2,991$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 2,122$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 57c | 2,115$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.07 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Under | 55c | 1,676$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 49c | 1,635$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.16 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,581$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.12 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 56c | 1,494$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 1,473$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.18 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 3c | 1,251$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 50c | 1,163$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.44 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d7babacked Over | 53c | 946.32$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 50c | 827.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 35c | 751.43$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Under | 64c | 746.07$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ec…ed41backed Under | 49c | 688.62$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 40c | 653.76$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Over | 10c | 600$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 49c | 584$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.16 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 51c | 560.67$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 53c | 540$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 50c | 496.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 57c | 480$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 49c | 448.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.93 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 46c | 446.44$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 56c | 418.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 51c | 408.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.17 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 39c | 407.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.85 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 360.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.87 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 350.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 49c | 346.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 316.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 299.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…836abacked Under | 51c | 294.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 50c | 284.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 23c | 270.09$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 41c | 243.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Over | 10c | 233.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 38c | 227$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.78 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 211.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 8cpaid | +300%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 199.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 160.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 49c | 151.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 50c | 134.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 108.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 39c | 102.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.82 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 51c | 97.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 61c | 82.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…8740backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…3a99backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…ba99backed Over | 44c | 65.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 46c | 65.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 49c | 62.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 50c | 59.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2977backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 51c | 58.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 68c | 58.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.