Bundesliga · resolved market
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bf0800d6d99c02e867467f048402ec53de47a959cf3a8cf397b35292dbfed0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 15,289$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,111.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 68c | 9,272$6,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 29c | 3,512$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.89 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…9b0bbacked Yes | 54c | 3,465$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 71c | 2,483$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,097$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,674$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.57 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 71c | 1,140$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.51 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 56c | 866.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 28c | 850.78$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 271 | 38.4%104 W · 167 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Yes | 67c | 675.52$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 38c | 513.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…6d03backed Yes | 47c | 426.78$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.19 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…db9cbacked Yes | 72c | 418.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 41c | 387.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 70c | 334.37$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 28c | 311.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2fc2backed Yes | 72c | 305.56$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 71c | 277.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 29c | 273.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 28c | 265.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 245.46$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 29c | 241.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes | 64c | 192.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 54c | 182.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 28c | 181.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc674…dcd2backed Yes | 66c | 174.43$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…9858backed Yes | 72c | 167.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 30c | 166.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde0…3b13backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Yes | 72c | 139.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Yes | 58c | 139.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 28c | 130.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 45c | 126.54$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 70c | 121.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.58 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked No | 36c | 112.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036a…aa02backed Yes | 72c | 107.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 30c | 102.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…936dbacked Yes | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 57c | 86.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 72c | 74.76$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 75c | 73.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 59c | 72.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 30c | 72.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 71c | 70.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210e…59f5backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 61c | 59.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 69c | 53.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe498…72c3backed No | 32c | 51.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 33c | 46.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 44c | 44.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 34c | 42.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…4041backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…31c0backed Yes | 72c | 41.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 53c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 71c | 35.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…abd9backed Yes | 71c | 35.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…6579backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 33.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 61c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…7933backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…2febbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 72c | 27.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 72c | 27.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 27.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…9ee8backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…9fbcbacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 61c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.