TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6553…aa3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
415
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Mls at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT14946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.84
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$69.21
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$37.81
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.36
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$72.66
Colorado Rockies vs. Athleticsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.04
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT9046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+146.3%+$36.59
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$73.3
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78%+$31.21
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$22.16
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Joel Embiid: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$32.14
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+175%+$35
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT6459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Federico Cinabacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Brescia: Mayar Sherif vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.03
Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Halle Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$59.28
Halle Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Figueira Da Foz: Katarina Kuzmova vs Viktoria Morvayovabacked Viktoria Morvayova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Grass Court Championships: Shuai Zhang vs Karolina Muchovabacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$97.88
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Magdalena Frech vs Shuai Zhangbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnenbacked Greet Minnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swanbacked Katie Swan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$48.75
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Daybacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$59.05
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Taylah Preston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$49.37
Birmingham: Celine Naef vs Maddison Inglisbacked Celine Naef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Eric Nolan vs. Farman Hasanov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Farman Hasanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.64
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Manel Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$56.33
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$15.71
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+146.5%+$65.95
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Bruno Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chelsea Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Jaqueline Amorim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Timmy Cuamba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Hamburger SV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
SC Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed VfL Wolfsburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
RB Leipzig vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$26.61
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Borussia Mönchengladbach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$30.91
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Hurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Oviedo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+109%+$27.25
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed CA Osasuna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.45
Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick63cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-65.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$68.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.