La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26b24e1d8d1c3d3f2e2ca5d1722dd9dbc89e7a99cee643ca2e2d0eb9ba7940c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 62c | 7,500$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,650 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 46c | 7,054$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.77 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 6,655$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,652.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 62c | 4,369$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.88 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 3,621$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.62 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4939…9adebacked Under | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 38c | 2,601$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.56 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 38c | 2,512$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 62c | 1,900$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Under | 27c | 1,531$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 63c | 1,512$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.58 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 63c | 1,499$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.56 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 1,358$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.31 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 62c | 1,339$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.38 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 62c | 925.86$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.04 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 62c | 860.67$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 46c | 795.48$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 518.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 37c | 470$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 39c | 442.43$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 6c | 380.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 297.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 45c | 282.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 8c | 264$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 262.71$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 246.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 63c | 222.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 76c | 188.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 38c | 181.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 80c | 169$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Under | 23c | 156$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 61c | 147.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 57c | 133.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 60c | 111.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 62c | 83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 48c | 74.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Under | 41c | 72.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 57c | 65.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 22c | 65.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Under | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Under | 79c | 42.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 42.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…4976backed Over | 64c | 40.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Over | 61c | 37.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 62c | 37.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 63c | 33.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 62c | 30.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 62c | 25.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed Over | 65c | 17.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 60c | 17.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.