TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3b34…a646

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT3141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$842.16
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$979Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$979
Set Handicap: Lajal (-1.5) vs Lee (+1.5)backed Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+80%+$56.78
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Roehampton: Michael Geerts vs Lucas Poullainbacked Michael Geerts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Kingston: Jay Clarke vs Clement Chidekhbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$24.22
Fery vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Cerundolobacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$28.75
Set 2 Winner: Trungelliti vs Medvedevbacked Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.36
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+315.5%+$168.89
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Raphael Perotbacked Raphael Perot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$94.51
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.28
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.61
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$231.42
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.29
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
National Bank Open: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linettebacked Magda Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$101.84
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.66
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Norbert Gombos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$225.9
Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$81.18
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$93.93
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.49
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.38
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$79.12
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$378.88
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$113.82
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$123.41
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: SK Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+223.7%+$156.6
Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$79.16
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$73.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$75.12
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$117.28
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$67.93
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.87
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.23
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$45.74
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.04
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$527.01
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$180
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$135.42
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Getafe CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$66.17
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$144.68
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$50.2
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$37.65
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$126.39
UD Las Palmas vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.72
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.43
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$74.67
FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$189
FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC: AD Ceuta FC O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$9.06
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 2 - 0 Real Oviedo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$57.76
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.78
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.11
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.81
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,037.71
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+34%+$112.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+165%+$108.17
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.11
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$33.71
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+86%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS - Game 2 Winnerbacked DYNASTY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
CA Huracán vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$33.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+67%+$134.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.